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Showing posts with label Broadcom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Broadcom. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 07, 2017

Merger Monday

Financial Review

Merger Monday


DOW + 33 = 23,572 (Record)
SPX + 5 = 2592 (Record)
NAS + 26 = 6790 (Record)
RUT + 2 = 1497
10 Y – .02 = 2.32%
OIL + 1.73 = 57.37
GOLD + 12.10 = 1282.50

Cryptocurrency

  • Number of Currencies: 900
  • Total Market Cap: $198,808,049,989
  • 24H Volume: $5,965,696,801
  Name Symbol Price USD Market Cap Vol. Total Vol. % Price BTC Chg. % 1D Chg. % 7D
  Bitcoin BTC 7,177.7 $120.50B $2.94B 49.23% 1 +3.20% +16.68%
  Ethereum ETH 299.79 $28.86B $584.77M 9.80% 0.0420586 +0.98% -2.21%
  Bitcoin Cash BCH 613.10 $10.50B $620.92M 10.41% 0.0872149 +4.27% +40.16%
  Ripple XRP 0.20150 $7.94B $102.58M 1.72% 0.00002874 -0.73% +1.59%
  Litecoin LTC 55.530 $3.01B $143.55M 2.41% 0.00780061 +1.68% -0.86%
  Dash DASH 291.81 $2.29B $83.21M 1.39% 0.0415611 +5.85% +5.41%
  NEO NEO 26.018 $1.69B $40.60M 0.68% 0.00361811 -0.61% -10.77%
  NEM XEM 0.18316 $1.64B $6.79M 0.11% 0.00002544 -1.43% -7.70%
  Monero XMR 98.06 $1.52B $125.95M 2.11% 0.0138411 -2.89% +12.38%
  Ethereum Classic ETC 14.2100 $1.42B $308.84M 5.18% 0.00204059 +2.61% +35.12%

Merger mania. We have a list of merger news to talk about. First, Broadcom has offered to buy Qualcomm for $105 billion, or $70 a share in cash and stock. That’s a 28 percent premium over the stock’s closing price on Nov. 2, before we heard reports about talks of a deal.

The proposed transaction is valued at approximately $130 billion on a pro forma basis, including $25 billion of net debt. Buying Qualcomm would make Broadcom the third-largest chipmaker, behind Intel and Samsung Electronics. The combined business would instantly become the default provider of a set of components needed to build each of the more than a billion smartphones sold every year.

The deal would dwarf Dell’s $67 billion acquisition of EMC in 2015 – then the biggest in the technology industry. This is not a done deal, and there is a strong chance that Qualcomm will try to fend off the unsolicited offer. Qualcomm will likely argue that the proposal is an opportunistic move to buy the chipmaker on the cheap, and it will likely recommend that shareholders reject it.

If Broadcom can pull off a deal, it could help smooth things over with Qualcomm’s biggest adversary – Apple, over chip royalties. Apple is demanding discounts on intellectual property royalties, which Qualcomm charges for its patents even if a company buys chips elsewhere. Qualcomm filed lawsuits seeking to ban the sale and manufacture of iPhones in China, which, if granted, would cut off Apple from the world’s largest phone market and cripple production.

Last week, Qualcomm executives said the legal process would “proceed under the court’s schedule,” indicating no resolution soon. Broadcom is already a major Apple supplier, and if they can broker a peace deal it could slow Apple’s ongoing efforts to seek other suppliers for its modem chips, such as Intel.

There is also the question of what now happens with Qualcomm’s ongoing effort to buy NXP Semiconductors. Broadcom has said its offer stands whether the NXP deal is completed at the current price of $110 per NXP share, or not. In other words, take it or leave it. Qualcomm rose 2.3%. Broadcom dropped 0.7%.

Apple gained 1.2% – but that was probably because of the rollout of the new iPhone X, which was met with long lines of buyers over the weekend. Also today, the US Supreme Court rejected a Samsung appeal of a patent loss to Apple and let stand a lower court ruling that reinstated a jury award of about $120 million in favor of Apple.

Sprint and T-Mobile called off merger talks. This marks the second time the third- and fourth-largest wireless carriers have failed to reach a deal. Sprint and T-Mobile said talks ended because they “were unable to find mutually agreeable terms.” A combination with T-Mobile, the third-largest US wireless carrier, would have enabled No. 4 Sprint to cut costs and forge a bigger competitor to take on AT&T and Verizon.

Another reason the deal seemed possible is that Sprint has a boatload of debt. About half of Sprint’s debt and obligations is coming due over the next four years and the company is also facing costly investments into next-generation wireless technology.

One clue to what the future holds is an agreement announced Sunday that allows cable operator Altice USA to sell wireless service using Sprint’s network. Under the deal, Sprint will use Altice’s broadband infrastructure to strengthen its nationwide network. Sprint dropped 10%. T-Mobile dropped 6%.

The media corporation 21st Century Fox has been in talks to sell most of itself to Disney. An acquisition would leave 21st Century Fox with a smaller, more focused portfolio of news and sports networks. A deal would exclude the Fox broadcast network because Disney could not own two broadcast networks. (Disney acquired ABC in 1996.)

Disney was reportedly interested in buying Fox assets including its studio division, partial ownership of the UK telecoms company Sky, and networks such as National Geographic and FX. Both companies aren’t in talks now but could resume them.

Disney could benefit from 21st Century Fox’s television properties as it gets ready to launch a streaming service. Disney announced in August that it would end its exclusive movie deal with Netflix in 2019 and launch an ad-free, Disney-branded streaming service.

Rivals Intel and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are teaming up to produce a laptop computer chip that uses an Intel processor and an AMD graphics unit. The partnership will pit the two companies against competitor Nvidia.

The new chip will be made for laptops that are designed to be thin and portable, but still powerful enough for gamers who need a stronger option to play intensive games. It’ll be part of Intel’s eighth-generation Intel Core line and marks Intel and AMD’s first partnership since the 1980s. Intel gained 1.2%. AMD added 7%. Nvidia was up slightly.

Companies continue to report their quarterly earnings. With more than 400 of S&P 500 companies having reported, earnings for the third quarter are expected to have climbed 8 percent, compared to an expectation of a 5.9 percent rise at the start of October, according to Thomson Reuters.

Michael Kors jumped 15% after the fashion accessories maker raised its 2017 revenue forecast. The stock was the biggest percentage gainer on the S&P.

Republican lawmakers began revising their proposed overhaul of the tax code. No surprise. Although Republicans generally support the bill’s broader themes, including a sharp reduction in the corporate income tax, they are torn over other elements, including the repeal of the deduction for state and local income tax (SALT) payments.

Kevin Brady, chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee, pledged to change the bill’s approach to the “carried interest” loophole by lengthening the time an asset would have to be held to qualify for the lower rate.

Carried interest is a share of an investment fund’s profits – typically about 20 percent beyond the return guaranteed to investors – that goes to the general partners of private equity, venture capital and hedge funds. The Senate is developing its own version of the tax legislation which would have to eventually be reconciled with the House version before it is sent to Trump for signing.

Still, more bad news for the tax plan. The House Republican tax proposal would on average reduce taxes for all income groups next year, but within 10 years nearly 30 percent of taxpayers would see taxes rise, according to a report released Monday.

The majority of deductions eliminated, however, come on the individual side of the tax code. Among the breaks eliminated include the state and local income tax deduction, breaks for medical expenses, the deduction of student loan interest and adoption expenses.

The Tax Policy Center said that in 2018, individual taxes would be cut by $1,100 on average across income groups, with higher income taxpayers getting a bigger boost. Taxpayers making less than $48,000 would see what they called “modest” tax cuts of 0.3 to 0.5 percent while those in the top 1 percent would see a cut of 2.5 percent, or $37,000 on average, according to the analysis. For the lowest 20 percent of earners, that’s about a cut of $40 in annual taxes paid. For the top 20 percent, that’s a cut of about $4850 in taxes paid.

Still, a group of taxpayers, some 12 percent, would see taxes rise in 2018. By 2027, the average tax cut would be about $700 or 0.7 percent, with those earning less than $55,000 seeing a slight increase in their taxes and those in the top 1 percent seeing a 2.2 percent boost to their after-tax income — nearly 50 percent of the total benefit.

A campaign of mass arrests of Saudi Arabian royals, ministers and businessmen expanded today after a top entrepreneur was reportedly detained in the biggest anti-corruption purge of the kingdom’s affluent elite in its modern history. The detentions, framed as part of a sweeping crackdown on corruption following a royal decree that mandated a Supreme Committee headed by Mohammed bin Salman to address the issue, represent the latest in a series of bold moves by a youthful crown prince who has centralized authority to a degree unprecedented in recent Saudi history.

The roll-call of the detained reads like a who’s who of the Saudi policymaking community. The kingdom has pared back important but painful domestic economic reforms and been distracted by its blockade of Qatar and long-running war in Yemen. Now the abrupt internal purge has left experts wondering whether it is truly aimed at corruption or at Mohammed’s political rivals. the upcoming transition from the current king, Salman, to his son, Mohammed bin Salman, will be a unique one.

The crown prince, who will be the first of the next generation to rule, is only 32. The current king is 81 and reportedly struggles with health problems—both physical and mental—so the transition could come soon, either through Salman’s death or his abdication. But Mohammed’s elevation over more senior and experienced uncles and cousins—he’s the third heir apparent since Salman’s reign began in 2015— has undoubtedly ruffled some feathers, and he has a lot of competition.

The arrests are likely a signal that the young king-in-waiting is not waiting until he inherits the throne to start exercising power. No telling how all this plays out, and if the crown prince will be successful, but we’ll probably look back on the events of the past few days as the beginning of a new era – one way or the other.

Markets Continue to Notch Record Highs

Charles Schwab: On the Market
Posted: 11/6/2017 4:15 PM EST

Markets Continue to Notch Record Highs
 
U.S. equities were slightly higher, achieving more record highs, courtesy of strength in the technology and energy sectors. Crude oil prices rallied on turmoil in the Middle East amid a corruption crackdown in Saudi Arabia, while Broadcom's unsolicited $105 billion takeover proposal for Qualcomm, and a chip deal between Dow member Intel and AMD, gave techs a boost. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar were a tad lower amid a dormant economic calendar, while gold was higher. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 9 points to 23,548, the S&P 500 Index advanced 3 points (0.1%) to 2,591, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 22 points (0.3%) to 6,786. In moderately heavy volume, 852 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 2.2 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil jumped $1.71 to $57.35 per barrel and wholesale gasoline gained $0.04 to $1.83 per gallon. Elsewhere, the Bloomberg gold spot price was $11.53 higher at $1,281.44 per ounce, and the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was 0.2% lower at 94.75.

Broadcom Ltd. (AVGO $278) announced a proposal to acquire Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM $63) for $70.00 in cash and stock, in a transaction valued at $105 billion excluding debt. Under the terms of the deal, QCOM stockholders will receive $60 in cash and $10 in BRCM stock for each share owned. QCOM confirmed receiving the unsolicited proposal and said it will assess it in order to pursue the course of action that is in the best interests of its shareholders. This would be the largest deal for the tech sector in history. QCOM was higher and AVGO also gained ground.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD $12) rallied after announcing that it designed a semi-custom graphics processor unit (GPU) that will be integrated into a new multi-chip processor package from Dow member Intel Corp. (INTC $47). INTC also traded higher.

Schwab's Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen, CFA, offers timely analysis of our outperform rating we have held for some time on the technology sector in his latest, Schwab Sector Views: Technology Trick or Treat?.

In late day action, CNBC's David Faber reported that Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. (FOXA $27) has been in talks to sell most of the company to Walt Disney Co. (DIS $101), citing people familiar with the matter. According to the report, talks have been taking place over the last few weeks, with no certainty to a deal being completed. Neither company commented on the report. Shares of both firms were higher on the news.

CVS Health Corp. (CVS $67) reported Q3 earnings-per-share (EPS) of $1.26, or $1.50 ex-items, versus the FactSet estimate of $1.48, as revenues rose 3.5% year-over-year (y/y) to $46.2 billion, roughly in line with forecasts. The company issued Q4 EPS guidance that matched expectations and narrowed its full-year profit outlook. Shares were lower as analysts expressed disappointment regarding its profit margin and same-store sales performance out of its retail unit, which both declined y/y.
 
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. (KORS $55) posted fiscal Q2 profits of $1.32 per share, or $1.33 ex-items, compared to the forecasted $0.83, with revenues growing 5.4% y/y to $1.2 billion, topping the expected $1.1 billion. Q2 same-store sales declined 2.5% y/y, versus the anticipated 4.5% decrease. The luxury retailer raised its full-year outlook, and shares jumped over 15%.

Economic front quiet today

Treasuries finished higher amid a dormant economic calendar, as the yield on the 2-year note was flat at 1.61%, while the yields on the 10-year note and the 30-year bond dipped by 1 basis point to 2.32% and 2.80%, respectively.

The yield curve flattened and the U.S. dollar was little changed last week as the markets assessed the likelihood of a December rate hike by the Fed and President Trump's pick of Fed Governor Jay Powell as the next Chairman of the Central Bank. Also, global economic data continues to paint a positive picture and tax reform remains a source of uncertainty in the wake of last week's House bill.
Schwab's Chief Fixed Income Strategist Kathy Jones and Vice President of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick discuss in the video, Should a Change in Fed Leadership Matter to Investors?, while Schwab's Vice President of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs, Michael T. Townsend offers his latest commentary, House Tax Reform Bill: What Investors Need to Know.

The week's relatively light economic calendar will get moving tomorrow with the release of the JOLTS Job Openings report, with the measure of unmet demand for labor forecasted to show 6.1 million jobs were available to be filled during September, matching that seen in August, while in the final hour of trading consumer credit will be reported, with consumer borrowing for September expected to have increased to $17.8 billion from the $13.1 billion registered in August.

As noted in the latest Schwab Market Perspective: Stocks Aren't so Spooky, global and domestic economic growth, along with a solid earnings picture and a potential tax reform tailwind, suggest investors should remain at their target equity allocations. Pullbacks are possible but a recession doesn’t appear to be in the cards in the near term, which historically has meant the risk of a pullback turning into a bear market is low.

Europe dips as week begins, Asia mixed

European equity markets dipped as the global markets appeared cautious ahead of a host of key economic data this week in Asia, and amid remaining global political and monetary policy uncertainties. The corruption crackdown in Saudi Arabia also garnered some attention. Global sentiment has jumped to lead the recent rally in the stock markets and Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders and Randy Frederick note in the video, Tracking Sentiment: Are Investors Too Optimistic About Stocks?, that there seems to be no end in sight to the bull market in equities, but that doesn’t mean there’s nothing to worry about. Stocks mostly shrugged off stronger-than-expected German factory orders and Markit's eurozone manufacturing and services sector activity report. In other economic news, U.K. new car registrations fell in October. The euro overcame losses and was little changed, while the British pound gained ground on the U.S. dollar. Bond yields in the region moved lower.

Stocks in Asia finished mixed following the extended weekly winning streak in the U.S., bolstered by a flood of upbeat economic reports, while the markets were likely cautious ahead of a busy week of data for the region and as President Trump began his tour of Asia. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to deliver its monetary policy decision, while Japan will report its machine orders figures and China will release its trade data. Stocks in Japan and Hong Kong finished flat, while mainland Chinese equities advanced modestly. Meanwhile, markets in Australia and South Korea dipped, but securities in India ticked slightly higher.

In addition to the aforementioned RBA policy meeting, the international economic calendar will include retail sales from the U.K., the Eurozone and Italy, as well as industrial production from Germany.

Thursday, May 28, 2015

The Deadline Is Near

Financial Review

The Deadline Is Near

Sinclair Noe
Podcast: Play in new window | Download (Duration: 13:16 — 6.1MB)

DOW – 36 = 18,126
SPX – 2 = 2120
NAS – 8 = 5097
10 YR YLD + .01 = 2.14%
OIL + .46 = 57.97
GOLD – .02 = 1188.20
SILV + .01 = 16.76

The National Association of Realtors’ index of pending home sales increased in April for the fourth consecutive month to reach the highest level in nine years, signaling that upcoming deals could pick up. The pending home sales index climbed 3.4 percent to 112.4 last month. The index now is at its highest since May 2006.Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist said: “Realtors are saying foot traffic remains elevated this spring despite limited – and in some cases severe – inventory shortages in many metro areas.”

The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, but remained at levels consistent with a strengthening labor market. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 7,000 to a seasonally adjusted 282,000 for the week ended May 23. Today’s report from the Labor Department shows companies are laying off the fewest number of employees since the government began keeping track several decades ago.

Median household income is showing improvement. According to the latest data from Sentier Research, which derives the results from government figures, the median annual household income rose 0.6% in April to $54,578. That’s 3% higher than the same month of 2014, and 6.2% higher than Aug. 2011. However, median income is still 2.9% worse than before the recession in Dec. 2007.

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard has joined the chorus of Fed policymakers calling for a rate hike later this year. Bullard said a prolonged accommodative stance is a “recipe for asset-price bubbles and a lot of mischief to happen. Asset price bubbles have been a devastating feature for the U.S. economy in the last 15 years.” Still Bullard says he is waiting for economic data to show the economy is getting stronger. Tomorrow we’ll get the revision to first quarter GDP, which was initially reported at 0.2% growth; the revision is expected to show contraction.

The Shanghai Composite has ended a seven-day winning streak with a bang, wiping out 6.5% to record its second-worst session of 2015, while the tech-heavy Shenzhen Composite lost 5.5% – its third biggest fall in five years. Until Thursday China’s benchmark index had surged more than 50% this year, despite widespread concerns that the market was in bubble territory. The plunge also highlighted the warnings Credit Suisse gave clients earlier this week: “At some point, there will be a massive correction of these stocks, in our view. Avoid this space!!!”

Japanese shares rose for a 10th session today as the yen traded at its lowest level since 2002. The Nikkei closed up 0.4% at 20,551 – marking its longest winning streak since a 15-day run that ended in March 1988. Meanwhile, Japan’s retail sales rebounded modestly in the year to April following three straight months of falls, bolstering the case that consumer spending is reviving.

The dollar rose to its highest level against the yen in more than 12 years today. The euro weakened slightly against the dollar, as investors waited for more information on the status of a deal between Greece and its creditors, (which is still up in the air.)

The G-7 is meeting in Germany today. The official topics for the summit range from the state of the global economy, to financial regulation, fighting tax evasion and ways stopping funding for terrorist groups like ISIS. The big unofficial conversation was about Greece. The ECB warned that the Greek crisis could pose a risk to financial stability in the euro area in the future. Germany’s finance minister said there were no significant breakthroughs. The Greeks are drafting an accord with creditors, and hope to have something substantive by Sunday. Something is about to happen with Greece, they face a June 5 deadline to make a payment of $235 billion and as we all know, they don’t have the money. US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew is at the G-7 summit and he said: “It’s a mistake to think that a failure is of no consequence outside of Greece. We don’t know the exact scope.”

What we do know, or at least have seen is that the Troika, which is the ECB, the IMF, and the Euro Monetary Union represent the Euro banks and other financial institutions, and their position has been intractable; they demand austerity, even though it has not worked and will not work. The Greeks have already made big cuts in the budget, pensions slashed 40%, health care and public services cut back, payrolls reduced, public works programs shuttered; and the result is unemployment has climbed to more than 25%, runs on the banks, increased infant mortality, increased suicides, and the debt to GDP rate has skyrocketed despite massive cuts in spending. Apparently starvation does not result in prosperity.

And yet the Troika remains inflexible, and the likely reason is that if Greece gets a break and some of its debt is forgiven, the problems will spread to Spain, Portugal, and Italy. IMF Director Christine LaGarde says a comprehensive solution is very unlikely in the next few days. There is a very good chance that the Greek situation could end in default, which could end in exit from the Euro Union, which could end the Euro Union. So, this is serious stuff. I know we’ve been talking about this for quite some time, but the deadline is now just a few days away.

Chip maker Avago Technologies agreed to buy rival Broadcom for $37 billion in cash and stock. Avago makes chips for wireless-communications and corporate-data-storage markets. Broadcom supplies the vast majority of chips used in the latest networking switches found in corporate data centers, a fast-growing business that could enhance Avago’s communications-focused revenue stream.

Amazon wants to make your impulse buys even more impulsive. The e-commerce powerhouse is offering free same-day delivery service in some cities to its Prime loyalty club members. Amazon says starting Thursday more than 1 million items including books, electronics and vacation gear will be eligible for same-day delivery in 14 metro areas including New York, Los Angeles, the San Francisco Bay Area, Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Phoenix. Orders over $35 are eligible for the service. They need to be placed by noon and will be delivered by 9 p.m. Orders under $35 can still have one day delivery, it just costs $5.99.

You probably use Google for searches on your computer. But you don’t take your computer with you the same way you take your phone with you. You spend lots of time on your phone jumping from one app to another trying to find whatever it is you’re trying to find. Users are engaging more and more with programs that have no attachment or they need to search on the broad web, and as a result Google’s position as the owner of our habits, interests, and needs on the internet has looked increasingly at risk. So, Google came up with a new idea to help you find what you want, no matter where you are on the phone. They call it Now on Tap, and it hovers above any app on your phone or tablet. An example: You’re writing an email to a friend about catching a movie. Tap and hold the phone or use a voice command, and a card with information on the movie pops up inside the email app.

Now this is important for Google because it reasserts their dominance over your digital life away from your computer; it also gives Google access to user behavior and needs. And to go a step further, it allows Google to act as the glue, or the connector between apps. And that means that Google Now could tap into the core functions of your apps and then predict what you want and execute on what you most likely need, in a seamless sort of fashion. At least that’s the idea.

Meanwhile, Apple is readying a major new iOS initiative codenamed ‘Proactive,’ which will leverage Siri, Contacts, Calendar, Passbook, and third-party apps to create a viable competitor to Google “Now”.  Like Google Now, Proactive will automatically provide timely information based on the user’s data and device usage patterns. During a Code Conference yesterday, Apple’s operations boss Jeff Williams dropped a hint that the company is working on an electric vehicle, declaring the car to be “the ultimate mobile device.”

Also at the Code Conference: GoPro CEO Nicholas Woodman said his company is working on a quad-copter drone and will introduce a sixteen-camera device to capture 360-degree spherical video, which will allow recording for video and pictures for virtual reality. It could be available in the second half of this year. Google built the rendering technology for the camera array, which means the 3-D videos will live on YouTube. Some of YouTube’s top video makers will be the first to get access to the camera, starting in July. And Google will have a virtual reality headset starting at about $20, to bring 3-D to the masses. And if you would like to order a VR headset, you can use Android Pay, which is the updated version of Google Wallet, and meant to compete with Apple Pay.

And one more thing, Google is coming out with its own platform for the internet of things, a very small operating system called “Brillo” that requires very little power. For example, it might be connected to the front door of your home. When the door is locked, it would also lock your home computer or TV or phone or make sure the lights are turned off. It would also position Google as the ‘invisible backbone of tomorrow’s smart home’.