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Showing posts with label Wall Street records. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wall Street records. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 03, 2017

Chugging Higher

Financial Review

Chugging Higher


DOW + 84 = 22,641 (Record)
SPX + 5 = 2534 (Record)
NAS + 15 = 6531 (Record)
RUT + 2 = 1511 (Record)
10 Y un = 2.33%
OIL – .22 = 50.36
GOLD + .60 = 1272.10

Cryptocurrency

  • Number of Currencies: 882
  • Total Market Cap: $145,958,421,271
  • 24H Volume: $2,700,484,118

Top Cryptocurrencies

Name Symbol Price USD Market Cap Vol. Total Vol. % Price BTC Chg. % 1D Chg. % 7D
Bitcoin BTC 4,303.1 $71.57B $1.25B 46.19% 1 -0.17% +9.72%
Ethereum ETH 293.54 $28.43B $323.58M 11.98% 0.0694896 +0.63% +3.64%
Ripple XRP 0.20458 $7.81B $47.54M 1.76% 0.00004726 +0.79% +7.14%
Bitcoin Cash BCH 401.20 $6.70B $122.68M 4.54% 0.093442 +0.20% -9.19%
Litecoin LTC 52.090 $2.78B $85.44M 3.16% 0.0121102 -0.12% -0.06%
Dash DASH 299.53 $2.28B $37.18M 1.38% 0.0695331 +1.10% -11.72%
NEM XEM 0.22378 $2.00B $3.40M 0.13% 0.00005162 +0.76% -3.36%
NEO NEO 33.450 $1.68B $71.82M 2.66% 0.00777794 +0.01% +19.01%
IOTA MIOTA 0.55687 $1.55B $14.12M 0.52% 0.0001292 -0.67% +7.25%
Monero XMR 92.91 $1.40B $43.06M 1.59% 0.0214919 -0.38% -1.47%

The S&P 500, the Dow, Nasdaq and the Russell 2000 indexes all posted record high closes for the second straight day. Enjoy it while you can.

The market has been slowly, steadily climbing. The more unusual factor is that it hasn’t been dropping. Even in a secular bull market we have pullbacks but dips as small as even 3% have been in incredibly short supply. If you’ve been waiting to buy the dips – sorry – there are no dips.

Historically speaking, on average, the domestic equity market corrects every 11 months—the last correction was in November 2015. Meanwhile, on average, the U.S. equity market dips three to four times per year. The last dip was in June 2016.

In addition to the nearly nonexistent downside, market volatility has also been hard to come by. Thus far this year, the S&P 500 SPX has only closed with a 1% move in either direction in eight sessions. That’s on track to be the fewest such moves since 1995, when there were 13. A larger move, such as a 4% swing in a day, hasn’t occurred in nearly six years.

Throughout 2017, Wall Street has been supported by signs of improving economic conditions, including better-than-expected earnings and strong data. Third-quarter earnings for S&P 500 companies are expected to have risen 5.5 percent from a year earlier, according to Thomson Reuters research, after rising a stronger-than-expected 12.3 percent in the second quarter.

That might be enough to keep stocks rolling along, even though valuations are sky high. Just how long the market keeps chugging uphill is hard to say but it won’t last forever. And we are closer to the end of the bull market than the beginning. It’s easy to be lulled into complacency and that can be expensive.

Stay alert to telltale signs.

Major U.S. stock indexes have reached new highs again this week, but one very important part of the market is sending a very disturbing signal. The technology-stock-heavy Nasdaq 100, stuffed with names such as Apple, Amazon.com and Facebook, crossed the 6,000 level for the sixth time in a month on Monday, but again failed to hold on. It has closed above that mark just once, on Sept. 13.

Large speculators last week reduced their net long positions in mini futures tracking the gauge to the lowest level since May 2016. And one more thing – don’t forget the Fed. This month the Federal Reserve transitions to a more restrictive monetary policy program known as quantitative tightening under which it starts shrinking its $4.47 trillion balance sheet.

Making his first appearance in Puerto Rico since Hurricane Maria’s landfall, Trump offered a hearty round of congratulations to federal relief efforts, giving them and him a grade of A+.

It didn’t take long until he offered a strange comparison on hurricanes, saying: “Every death is a horror, but if you look at a real catastrophe like Katrina, and you look at the tremendous hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of people that died, and you look at what happened here and what is your death count? Sixteen people, versus in the thousands,” Trump said. “You can be very proud. Sixteen versus literally thousands of people.”

That’s kind of like saying the wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald was great because it wasn’t nearly as bad as the sinking of the Titanic. The American citizens of Puerto Rico might argue that Maria is just as real a catastrophe as Katrina. And while the official death count is 16, it hasn’t been updated in at least 5 days the unofficial count is growing rapidly. Most of the island is still blacked out. Clean water and sanitation is still a huge problem. The recovery is just beginning.

Automakers posted higher new vehicle sales in September as consumers in hurricane-hit parts of the country replaced flood-damaged cars. Up to 500,000 to 1 million cars were damaged or destroyed during Harvey and another 200,000 cars during Irma. GM’s sales jumped nearly 12 percent versus September 2016 as a 43 percent increase in sales of crossovers and a 10 percent rise for pickup trucks offset an 11 percent decline for passenger cars.

Ford sales rose 8.7 percent in September, with sales to consumers up 4.4 percent and lower-margin fleet sales up 25.1 percent. F-Series pickup truck sales soared 21.4 percent. Side note: today Ford offered up plans to cut $14 billion in costs, using part of that money to go deeper into electric cars, and allocate more money to SUVs and trucks rather than cars.

Fiat Chrysler reported a 10 percent decline in sales, driven by a 41 percent drop in lower-margin fleet sales. The company is cutting back on fleet sales. Fiat’s sales to consumers rose 0.3 percent. Since Harvey made landfall, GM stock has risen 24 percent, Ford is up 16 percent and Fiat Chrysler has rocketed 44 percent.

If you plan to buy a used car — and that goes for anywhere in the country –  there are steps you should take to make sure you don’t drive away in a car that was flooded. Cars have a record — known as a “vehicle history report.” Most states require that the report include a flood or salvage title disclosure for flood-damaged cars. Using the vehicle identification number, located on the driver’s side dashboard, you can check the car’s history. Cars are basically rolling computers and even after the water dries, problems can crop up.

Former Equifax CEO Richard Smith — who retired last week — was on Capitol Hill today to testify about the company’s massive data breach, which potentially put the personal data of as many as 145 million consumers in the hands of criminals. Just yesterday, the number of consumers potentially affected in the breach was revised upward.

For three hours, Republicans and Democrats on a House Energy and Commerce subcommittee blasted Equifax for allowing its trove of consumer data to be hacked and then bungling the rollout of measures to help consumers deal with the breach. There was unanimous agreement that Equifax was a colossal, stupid failure. Ah, bipartisanship at last.

It is recommended that all consumers should assume their information was compromised and take steps to protect their credit – first, by monitoring their credit report or better yet, freeze your credit. The basic benefit of freezing your credit report is that if a scammer attempts to take out a loan or establish credit using your personal information, the lender will be unable to check your credit score or history and generally won’t approve the application.

Yet to do so costs anywhere from $2 to $10. Only eight states require that credit be offered free of charge, which means about 158 million consumers between ages 18 and 65 would face a hefty tab – to the tune of over $4 billion.

In some states, you’ll also pay a fee to unfreeze your report when you need a lender to approve a valid application. Equifax is offering all consumers free credit-monitoring for a year, with a signup deadline now set for Jan. 31, 2018. The service includes free freezes. The problem with that is it still leaves fees at the other two major credit-reporting firms, TransUnion and Experian.

Now you might think the hack is bad for business but Equifax has picked up a new customer – the IRS. The Internal Revenue Service will pay Equifax $7.25 million to verify taxpayers’ identities and help prevent fraud under a no-bid contract issued last week. According to a report in Politico the credit agency will “verify taxpayer identity” and “assist in ongoing identity verifications and validations” at the IRS.

Yahoo said last December that data from more than 1 billion user accounts was compromised in August 2013. Today Yahoo, now part of Verizon, said that an investigation showed all 3 billion of its user accounts were affected in a 2013 data theft, tripling its earlier estimate of the largest breach in history. However, the company said the investigation indicated that the stolen information did not include passwords in clear text, payment card data, or bank account information.

The new rule of thumb – unless you are a complete Luddite – you have been hacked.

Wells Fargo’s chief executive Timothy Sloan testified before the Senate Banking Committee today and defended the bank against criticism from lawmakers that it has not done enough to reform itself since admitting last year it had opened millions of fake accounts customers didn’t want. In prepared testimony, Sloan apologized for the creation of unauthorized accounts and said the bank has hired back more than 1,000 workers who were wrongly fired or left under a cloud.

This year marks the 11th consecutive annual increase in bank ATM fees for customers using out-of-network machines, according to a new Bankrate.com report. Over the past decade, such fees have risen 55 percent. The average cost of such a transaction is now over $4.50.

ATM fees aren’t rising due to overwhelming demand. In fact, it’s the opposite. It keeps getting easier to avoid the fees, and people are transitioning away from cash. With fewer people making out-of-network ATM withdrawals, the cost of maintaining that network is being spread over fewer transactions.

Monday, October 02, 2017

Inured

Financial Review

Inured


DOW + 152 = 22,557 (Record)
SPX + 9 = 2529 (Record)
NAS + 20 = 6516 (Record)
RUT + 18 = 1509
10 Y + .01 = 2.34%
OIL – 1.04 = 50.54
GOLD – 8.90 = 1271.50

Cryptocurrency

  • Number of Currencies: 882
  • Total Market Cap: $148,926,975,795
  • 24H Volume: $2,818,429,648

Top Cryptocurrencies

Name Symbol Price USD Market Cap Vol. Total Vol. % Price BTC Chg. % 1D Chg. % 7D
Bitcoin BTC 4,420.3 $73.44B $1.30B 46.18% 1 +0.46% 12.92%
Ethereum ETH 299.82 $28.42B $308.15M 10.93% 0.0678232 +1.01% 2.73%
Ripple XRP 0.20349 $7.83B $56.94M 2.02% 0.00004621 +0.49% 12.18%
Bitcoin Cash BCH 419.09 $6.96B $197.03M 6.99% 0.0946516 -0.19% -7.21%
Litecoin LTC 53.400 $2.84B $85.00M 3.02% 0.012095 +0.06% 3.41%
Dash DASH 308.12 $2.34B $28.38M 1.01% 0.0697576 +0.01% -10.12%
NEM XEM 0.23515 $2.09B $3.82M 0.14% 0.00005271 +1.37% 1.07%
NEO NEO 36.100 $1.80B $108.07M 3.83% 0.0081623 -1.64% 38.31%
IOTA MIOTA 0.57980 $1.61B $12.98M 0.46% 0.00013081 +0.31% 5.57%
Monero XMR 90.50 $1.37B $27.57M 0.98% 0.0204906 -1.38% -2.74%

Once again, we saw records on Wall Street for the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq. There will be no celebration today. The flags are at half-staff. By now, you all have heard about the mass shooting in Las Vegas. Here is the latest information. Last night, shortly after 10 p.m., at an outdoor concert in Las Vegas, gunfire erupted.

The gunman was on the 32nd floor of the Mandalay Bay, firing into a field of 22,000 concertgoers, across the Las Vegas Strip. At first, the people at the concert didn’t realize what was happening or where the gunfire was coming from. The gunfire sprayed down in rapid fire, likely from fully automatic guns – machine guns. 59 people are dead and over 527 injured, several in critical condition.

Some of the injured were wounded, others hit by shrapnel, others were trampled in the chaos as they tried to escape. It ranks as the worst mass shooting in the US so far. Approximately 15 minutes later, police broke through the gunman’s hotel door. Stephen Paddock, a 64-year old from Mesquite, Nevada was dead of a self-inflicted gunshot. He was surrounded by 19 guns and hundreds of rounds of ammo.

To a certain extent, we have all become inured to this carnage that happens with sickening regularity. The reality is that mass murder is more and more common – even as violent crime has been on the decline. Since 1970, more Americans died from guns (either murder, suicide or accident) than the total of all the people who died in all the wars in American history, going all the way back to the American Revolution.

And while the event in Las Vegas is jarring, each day 92 Americans die from guns; more than 33,000 last year. After various times, I half expected there would be some action to address this problem: after Columbine, after Newtown, after Tucson, after Aurora, after Charleston, after Orlando. Nope.

Today, the shares of gun stocks went higher. No surprise. More people will buy more guns because they are afraid. More people will buy more guns because they think gun control advocates might sway someone to do something. There were calls for legislation. It won’t happen.

Even before today there was legislation in Congress to ease firearms rules and make it easier to purchase silencers. Nothing will happen after Las Vegas. Lives were shattered today. Daughters and sons, Moms and Dads, sisters and brothers – gone, permanently. In a week, or a month, or a year it will happen again and then again. I would like to say something hopeful but I have no expectations anything will change.

Looking at today’s economic data: Construction outlays jumped in August, led by a surge in spending for public works projects. Spending increased 0.5% during the month, and stood 2.5% higher than a year ago. Outlays were at a seasonally adjusted annual $1.22 trillion rate in August.

Private construction spending rose 0.4% in August, while public outlays jumped 0.7%, driven by a 3.5% increase in educational construction projects. Public construction spending has stagnated for years.

Florida and Texas, the areas most impacted by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, accounted for 22% of U.S. private nonresidential construction spending in 2016, and 15% of state-and-locally-owned construction spending. Meanwhile, residential construction spending was up only 0.5% for the month, but was 11.3% higher than its year-ago level.

The Institute for Supply Management said its manufacturing index jumped to 60.8 in September from 58.8%, hitting the highest level since 2004.

The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP Now forecast model was revised to show third quarter GDP growth of 2.7%, up from an earlier estimate of 2.3% growth.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Sunday said one of the top goals of the Trump administration’s tax plan is to help the middle class, but he could not guarantee that every middle-class family would receive a tax cut.

President Donald Trump last week outlined his plan, which includes reducing the corporate income tax rate to 20 percent, establishing a new 25 percent tax rate for pass-through businesses and lowering the top income tax rate for individuals to 35 percent.

A report on Friday from the non-profit Washington-based Tax Policy Center found that taxpayers in the top 1 percent income bracket – above $730,000 – would receive about 50 percent of the total benefit from the overhaul, with their after-tax income forecast to increase an average of 8.5 percent.

The group said about 12 percent of taxpayers would face an average tax increase of roughly $1,800. This includes more than a third of taxpayers making between about $150,000 and $300,000, as most itemized deductions, including for state and local taxes, would be repealed.

The Spanish region of Catalonia attempted to hold a contested independence referendum on Sunday and Catalonia’s leadership has declared the region has “won the right” to independence. Catalan officials claimed that around 90% of votes cast were for independence with a turnout of around 43%. Spain’s central government does not recognize the referendum, with Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy saying it made a “mockery” of democracy and refusing to recognize that a vote happened.

Sunday’s referendum was marred by violent scenes as police were ordered to confiscate ballot boxes and prevent people from voting. Videos surfaced of officers forcibly dragging would-be voters from polling stations. Spain is the fourth largest eurozone economy. But what will happen if Catalonia does declare independence from Spain?

Declaring independence from Spain would automatically mean that Catalonia would have to leave the European Union, which would inevitably cause issues around its membership of the EU’s single market. The economic cost for Catalonia could proportionally exceed that of Brexit for the UK. Spain’s benchmark IBEX 35 stock index slid 1.8 percent, led by shares of banks. Spanish 10-year government bond yields climbed as much as 11 basis points.

The UK’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) is launching the biggest repatriation effort of Brits abroad since the Second World War after the bankruptcy of Monarch Airlines over the weekend. Monarch, which flies to the Mediterranean and other warm weather destinations, cancelled an estimated 300,000 bookings and an estimated 110,000 travelers were stranded.

Spectrem Group’s monthly confidence index of investors with at least $1 million to invest soared to 19 for September from 10 in August. The index, which is based on 250 interviews, has only been higher twice since the markets began recovering from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression in 2009 — in April of this year and in September 2013.

General Motors is going all electric. GM will begin selling two new all-electric vehicles in the next 18 months, and will have at least 20 new zero-emission electric vehicles in its lineup by 2023. Chairman and CEO Mary Barra, making the announcement in Detroit, said the new cars are part of a sweeping plan to move toward an automotive world that includes zero emissions, zero congestion and zero crashes.

The two new cars will be based on technology derived from the company’s Bolt EV, the 238-mile-range electric sedan that Chevrolet introduced late last year. They will be plug-in electric vehicles or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles that have no internal combustion engines and do not burn gasoline or emit harmful vapors from their tailpipes.

GM, with its Bolt EV battery-powered car and its Volt plug-in hybrid, is pushing into an increasingly competitive space. Almost 50 new pure electric-car models will come to market globally between now and 2022, including vehicles from Daimler, Volkswagen, and Volvo. The car companies dragged their feet with electric. Now they are being dragged into it by Tesla and by regulations.

Though more than 350,000 people put down $1,000 deposits to get in line for the upcoming Tesla Model 3 BEV sedan, sales of the Bolt EV have not met analysts’ expectations. Tesla had record sales of its EVs last year — and still lost $675 million on $7 billion in sales. To date, in the United States, pure battery-electric vehicles account for fewer than 1% of all vehicles sold.

The massive data breach at Equifax may be even larger than originally thought, according to an independent investigation by a cybersecurity firm. Mandiant, a cybersecurity investigations firm retained by Equifax to look into the breach, found that 2.5 million more U.S. consumers were potentially affected than originally estimated, bringing the total to 145.5 million.

The recently former CEO of Equifax, Richard Smith is scheduled to appear before four Congressional panels this week, beginning with the House Energy and Commerce Committee on Tuesday. In prepared remarks, Smith said Equifax was alerted to the breach by the Homeland Security Department on March 9 but did not act to patch the vulnerability.

The Interior Department’s inspector general’s office has opened an investigation into Secretary Ryan Zinke’s use of taxpayer-funded charter planes. The watchdog has “received numerous complaints” and launched its investigation late last week. Interior secretary Zinke has flown on government-owned or -chartered aircraft several times this year, including one $12,000 trip from Las Vegas to an airport near his hometown in Montana and another trip in the Caribbean

At Oracle’s OpenWorld conference yesterday, Larry Ellison announced a new autonomous database that can patch itself from cybersecurity flaws without having to go offline. While the idea of a human-free database maintenance is compelling on its own, Ellison spent the second half of his presentation comparing Oracle 18c to Amazon Web Service’s database product, Redshift.

The automated database, called Oracle 18c, can instantly patch itself while still running, which Ellison says is a big advantage over the current system, in which humans must schedule downtime for a database.