Morning in Arizona

Morning in Arizona
Rainbows over Canyonlands - Dave Stoker

The Headline Animator

Showing posts with label Lindsey Graham. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Lindsey Graham. Show all posts

Thursday, August 17, 2017

Toxic

Financial Review

Toxic


DOW – 274 = 21,750
SPX – 38 = 2430
NAS – 123 = 6221
RUT – 24 = 1358
10 Y – .03 = 2.20%
OIL + .23 = 47.01
GOLD + 4.70 = 1288.50
BITCOIN – 0.70% = 4286.30 USD
ETHEREUM + 2.42% = 297.73

All 30 companies in the Dow Industrials finished in negative territory.

Cisco Systems fell 4% after the networking-equipment company late Wednesday reported earnings that missed forecasts and lowered its guidance for next quarter, and Walmart fell 1.6% after its results, which included lower-than-expected sales from its Sam’s Club division.

All 11 of the S&P 500’s sectors closed lower on the session, which has only happened two other times this year.

And the Nasdaq was the biggest percentage loser – down 1.9%. The last time all three major benchmarks finished down 1% or more was May 17.

The Dow is now 1.7% off its closing record, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq off 2.1% and 3.1% their respective closing highs. Meanwhile, the small-cap oriented Russell 2000 index fell 1.8% to finish at just below 1,359, its first close below its 200-day moving average in 14 months.

The latest deadly use of a vehicle to carry out mass violence occurred Thursday in the Spanish city of Barcelona, where a van mowed down pedestrians on a busy avenue popular with tourists. Many things about the event remain unclear, but it appears that a dozen people have died and about 100 are injured.

ISIS has claimed responsibility and 2 suspects are in custody. Increasingly, cars, trucks, and vans have become weapons of terrorists, from a white supremacist’s deadly attack on protesters in Charlottesville, Va. last weekend to several other vehicle attacks in European cities in recent months.

Airline stocks were among the bigger losers Thursday, with American, Alaska Air and Delta among the 10 worst performers in the S&P 500. The big carriers tend to get hit when people worry about terrorism and the possible impact on global travel.

An exchange traded fund that owns leading companies in Spain also fell after the attack. The iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP) was down more than 2%, led by drops in Banco Santander and Telefonica.

Stocks were already having a bad day because of lingering concerns over President Trump’s rift with business leaders. Yesterday, Trump’s Manufacturing Council and the Strategy & Policy Council quit. Today comes word the President’s Advisory Council on Infrastructure, which was still being formed, will not move forward.

The moves marked a most unusual repudiation by American business leaders. The bar for a chief executive of a public corporation to repudiate a United States president is extraordinarily high. Corporate leaders aren’t given their power, prestige, responsibility and nine-figure pay packages to use the corner office as their personal soapbox.

Such a public breakup between a president and business leaders left corporate historians at a loss for precedent; apparently this kind of thing has never happened.

So far, there have been no resignations among White House staff or the administration’s cabinet. However, a rumor this morning that Gary Cohn would resign seemed to spook Wall Street.   Gary Cohn is Trump’s chief economic adviser. Cohn is the former president of Goldman Sachs. Cohn is a calming influence in the administration.

He is also a point man on Trump’s push for tax reform, where his deal making skills will come in handy with Congress. Cohn is now under pressure to quit after the president on Tuesday doubled down on blaming both sides in a white-supremacist rally in Virginia that turned violent and trying to claim that there were many fine people on both sides.

Just a reminder, there are videos of the rally in Charlottesville of protesters carrying torches and Nazi flags and chanting “Jews will not replace us” and “blood and soil”. Temple Beth Israel in Charlottesville was patrolled by armed militia with semi-automatic rifles, and worshippers said it was like they were under siege.

There are several reports today that Cohn was deeply offended by Trump’s remarks. Several former colleagues have urged him to resign before his reputation takes an unrecoverable hit. Many of his former clients abandoned the president’s CEO advisory councils earlier this week because of Trump’s remarks.

Cohn is also considered the front-runner to replace Janet Yellen a chair of the Federal Reserve, when her term expires in February. So, Cohn has a decision to make. Does he try to stick it out or does he cut bait now.

If Cohn leaves, there would be a definite lack of economic talent left in the administration. But it’s not just Cohn, the big issue spooking Wall Street is that if Cohn leaves, it could spark a mass exodus.

Nearly all the nation’s top military leaders unequivocally condemned racism in public messages Wednesday. Five of the country’s top uniformed leaders — of the Army, Navy, Air Force, Marine Corps and National Guard — have all sent tweets critical of “racism,” “hatred” and “extremism.”

The chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Joe Dunford was traveling and told reporters in Beijing, “I can absolutely and unambiguously tell you there is no place — no place — for racism and bigotry in the U.S. military or in the United States as a whole.”

Trump unloaded on two Republican senators, Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and Jeff Flake of Arizona. Graham had criticized Trump’s Charlottesville response, prompting Trump to accuse him of telling a “disgusting lie.” Graham said Trump suggested there was a “moral equivalency” between white supremacists and those who protested the rally. Trump has blamed “both sides” for the violence.

Trump called Flake “toxic” and all but endorsed Kelli Ward, who is challenging Flake in a primary. “Great to see that Dr. Kelli Ward is running against Flake,” Trump tweeted. Flake said Wednesday on Twitter, “We can’t claim to be the party of Lincoln if we equivocate in condemning white supremacy.”

It’s possible Trump will further comment when he visits Phoenix on Tuesday for a rally for his 2020 re-election campaign. Although Phoenix Mayor Greg Stanton issued a statement that he was disappointed to learn of Trump’s visit so close to the violent events in Charlottesville.

The mayor called on Trump to delay the visit.  The statement said: “If President Trump is coming to Phoenix to announce a pardon for former Sheriff Joe Arpaio, then it will be clear that his true intent is to inflame emotions and further divide our nation.”

The Labor Department reports initial jobless claims in the period running from Aug. 6 to Aug. 12 declined by 12,000 to 232,000.

Philly Fed’s manufacturing index for August came in at 18.9, compared with a reading of 19.5 in the prior period.

The leading economic index rose 0.3% last month after a 0.6% increase in June, suggesting potentially faster growth in the final six months of 2017.

Industrial production rose in July for the second month in a row. Output climbed 0.2% last month, a touch below expectations. Production at utilities surged 1.6% as Americans cranked up the AC to deal with another sweltering summer.

Mining output also rose 0.5% — the fourth straight increase — reflecting in part frackers pulling more oil and natural gas out of the ground. Yet output among manufacturers slipped 0.1%, the third decline in five months. The drop-off largely stemmed from lower production among auto makers whose sales have cooled off.

Auto production sank 3.5%. Production of business equipment and construction output also declined.

Arizona’s unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in July. The national unemployment rate declined from 4.4% in June to 4.3% in July. A year ago, the Arizona seasonally adjusted rate was 5.2% and the U.S. rate was 4.9%.

Arizona lost 20,900 Nonfarm jobs in July. The Private Sector lost 9,400 jobs and government lost 11,500. Arizona Nonfarm employment grew by 1.7% (45,000 jobs) over the year in July.

Walmart reported second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped Wall Street estimates, boosted by an increase in foot traffic and by strong online sales. Shares, however, are trading down by about 2%.

America’s largest brick-and-mortar retailer said US comparable-store sales rose 1.8% versus a year ago, making for the 12th straight quarter with positive results. Walmart said food categories delivered their strongest comparable-store sales performance in five years. Walmart raised its guidance slightly.

Alibaba reported yet another winning set of quarterly financials. Revenue was up 56% on-year hitting $7.4 billion, and operating profit more than doubled over the same period to hit $2.88 billion. While investors will likely be pleased, the Chinese government is not.

The Cyberspace Administration of China sent a warning to Alibaba, its music-streaming subsidiary Xiami, and three other companies. The letter accused Taobao, Alibaba’s e-commerce marketplace, of allowing some of its vendors to sell “tools that break computers’ IT systems,” “illegal controlled substances,” “illegal VPN tools,” and “internet accounts.”

It demanded that Alibaba immediately remove such vendors from its site, and called on it to launch a “self-investigation.” Alibaba is almost as valuable as Amazon and closing the gap fast.

Mylan has finalized a $465 million settlement resolving Justice Department claims it overcharged the government for its EpiPen emergency allergy treatment, which became the center of a firestorm over price increases.

The settlement resolved claims that Mylan avoided higher rebates to state Medicaid programs by misclassifying EpiPen as a generic product, even though it was marketed and priced as a brand-name product. Under the deal, Mylan did not admit wrongdoing. It will reclassify EpiPen and pay the rebate applicable to its new classification as of April 1, 2017.

Wednesday, March 08, 2017

Watch and Wait

Financial Review

Watch and Wait


DOW – 69 = 20,855
SPX – 5 = 2362
NAS + 3 = 5837
RUT – 8 = 1366
10Y + .04 = 2.55%
OIL – 2.95 = 50.19
GOLD – 7.70 = 1208.90

The S&P and Dow are down for 3 straight sessions. Oil closed at a 3-month low. Eight years ago, the Dow Industrial average was barely holding on at the 6,500 level. The S&P 500 index had dropped to 666. Since those dark days in the Spring of 2009, the Dow has climbed over 320%. The S&P is up 354%.

If you had purchased Apple 8 years ago, you would have a 1,000% gain. Home Depot delivered a 608% gain. Not very likely you were buying stocks 10 years ago, this week; a lottery ticket would have been an easier play.

Payrolls processor ADP reports the US economy added 298,000 private-sector jobs in February, the most since April 2014. ADP’s report wasn’t just strong at the headline—it also suggested growth in well-paying fields, as construction and professional & business sectors each added 66,000 jobs.

While the relatively lower-paid education & health and leisure & hospitality each added another 40,000 jobs, manufacturers added 32,000 jobs. The ADP report suggests the official non-farm payrolls report from the Labor Department, which also covers government jobs, might come in well ahead of the current 200,000 consensus estimate.

Productivity increased 1.3% in the fourth quarter. Even with a healthy fourth-quarter boost, productivity only rose 0.2% in 2016. That’s the smallest gain since 2011 and maintains a post-recession trend of extremely weak increases in productivity.

The government’s first revision of fourth-quarter productivity showed little change in output, hours worked or labor costs. Productivity has averaged 1% growth per year since 2007, compared to a 2.6% rate from 2000 to 2007.

The European Central Bank meets tomorrow to announce its latest call on rates and stimulus measures. Eurozone Inflation is finally back at the ECB’s target of around 2% for the first time since 2013. Inflation is one of the key measures the central bank uses to decide on interest rates and other stimulus measures.

And the Eurozone purchasing managers’ index jump to a 70-month high and gross domestic product growth is outpacing that of the US. But that doesn’t mean the ECB will raise rates; most analysts think they will only make adjustments to forward guidance.

The Federal Reserve meets next week to announce monetary policy. Yesterday, Jeffrey Gundlach, chief executive officer at DoubleLine Capital, said he expects the Federal Reserve to begin a campaign this month of “old school” sequential interest rate hikes until “something breaks,” such as a US recession.

Japan’s economy gets an upgrade. The Final GDP reading for the fourth quarter showed the Japanese economy grew at a 0.3% clip, ahead of the 0.2% that was previously recorded. Private business investment grew by 2% in the quarter, making for the fastest growth since the first quarter of 2014.

China reported a rare trade deficit in February equal to about $9 billion. However, the country’s trade data are frequently distorted this time of year, because of the celebration of the Chinese New Year. Still, it’s the first monthly trade deficit China has reported in three years.

An indicator of the health of the global economy grew at its fastest pace in 6 years. Data released by the International Air Transport Association showed that revenue passenger kilometers grew by 9.6% compared with a year earlier, making for the fastest growth since April 2011.

OPEC and non-OPEC producing countries have reiterated their pledge to uphold the terms of the production cut agreement reached late last year; top energy ministers said they were committed to removing 1.8 million barrels from the market. So far, it hasn’t happened.

This morning, the American Petroleum Institute reported oil stocks rose by 11.6 million barrels last week. US crude production is projected to surge to a record 9.7 million barrels a day next year, per the EIA’s monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook released Tuesday.

The US Energy Information Administration on Wednesday reported an 8.2 million-barrel climb in domestic crude supplies for last week, lifting total commercial inventories to a new record weekly level of 528.4 million. That marked a ninth straight weekly increase.

Mexico has canceled existing sugar export permits to the United States in a dispute over the pace of shipments. Reuters report a letter sent by Mexico’s sugar chamber to mills partly blamed the situation on unfilled positions at the US Department of Commerce, which it said has led to a “legalistic” interpretation of rules with no US counterparts in place in Washington for Mexican officials to negotiate with. Mexico is the top foreign supplier of sugar to the US.

A new report commissioned by the federal government accuses Caterpillar of using tax and accounting fraud to prop up its stock price. The New York Times reports no charges have been filed, and it is not clear whether investigators agree with the findings or intend to act on them.

The report, which has not been made public or made available to Caterpillar, outlines a company strategy for bringing home billions of dollars from offshore affiliates while avoiding federal income taxes on those earnings. Last week, federal agents raided three Caterpillar buildings near its headquarters in Peoria, Ill., as part of the investigation.

The company’s tax practices have been a focus of government investigators since a 2014 Senate hearing found that the company cut its tax bill by $2.4 billion over 13 years, moving earnings out of the United States and into a Swiss subsidiary, despite internal company warnings that the strategy lacked a business purpose, other than tax avoidance.

The CIA faces what could potentially be the biggest ever leak of its secrets, after Wikileaks published thousands of documents claiming to show how the agency uses cyber espionage tactics to hack into smartphones and other devices. The leak, named “Vault 7” by WikiLeaks, will once again raise questions about the inability of US spy agencies to protect secret documents in the digital age.

The methods could reportedly capture text and voice messages on iOS, Android and Whatsapp before they were encrypted, and could hack Microsoft software and Samsung TVs. Apple released a statement saying they have already dealt with some of the issues raised in the leaks. Microsoft is reportedly considering the issue.

Microsoft says it is committing to use chips based on ARM Holdings technology in the machines that run its cloud services, potentially imperiling Intel’s longtime dominance in the profitable market for data-center processors. Microsoft has developed a version of its Windows operating system for servers using ARM processors, working with Qualcomm and Cavium.

In Hawaii, the Kauai Island Utility Cooperative is now drawing energy from 272 Tesla power packs to provide electricity after dark. While the island previously relied on solar and other renewable energy during the day, it had no way to store the sun’s power after it went down.

Using stored energy from Tesla’s power packs is expected to save KIUC 1.6 million gallons of diesel fuel annually, which has traditionally been the way the utility generates power after dark. Tesla says the power packs will cut KIUC costs per kilowatt hour from 15.5 cents down to 13.9 cents. The 13.9 cents is a fixed price for the next 20 years.

The West Virginia Gazette-Mail obtained previously confidential drug shipping sales records sent by the US Drug Enforcement Administration to West Virginia Attorney General’s office. The records disclose the number of pills sold to every pharmacy in the state and the drug companies’ shipments to all 55 counties in West Virginia between 2007 and 2012.

In six years, drug wholesalers showered the state with 780 million hydrocodone and oxycodone pills, while 1,728 West Virginians fatally overdosed on those two painkillers. The unfettered shipments amount to 433 pain pills for every man, woman and child in West Virginia.

The nation’s three largest prescription drug wholesalers -McKesson, Cardinal Health and AmerisourceBergen – supplied more than half of all pain pills statewide.

Urban Outfitters CEO Richard Hayne does not have comforting words for the retail industry. Hayne said on the company’s earnings conference call on Tuesday: “Our industry, not unlike the housing industry, saw too much square footage capacity added in the 1990s and early 2000s,” “Thousands of new doors opened and rents soared. This created a bubble, and like housing, that bubble has now burst. We are seeing the results, doors shuttering and rents retreating. This trend will continue for the foreseeable future, and may even accelerate.”

Shares in H&R Block were higher after the company reported results that beat Wall Street expectations.

German sportswear giant Adidas reported its 2016 full-year earnings on Tuesday, and its revenue of 19.3 billion euros was slightly below analyst expectations, but they raised guidance for 2017 and beyond. Adidas’s overall sneaker sales jumped 80% in 2016; a substantially larger spike than any major competitor saw.

Wall Street firm, State Street Corp., has put up a statue of a girl in front of Lower Manhattan’s well-known bronze charging bull, as if to fearlessly stare it down. Placing the diminutive, grade school-aged girl in front of the massive bull on the eve of International Women’s Day was a way of calling attention to the lack of gender diversity on corporate boards and the pay gap of women working in financial services.

State Street said one out of four of the companies that make up the Russell 3000 Index still have no female representation on their boards.