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Showing posts with label IBM. Show all posts
Showing posts with label IBM. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Solid 23K

Financial Review

Solid 23K


DOW + 160 = 23,157 (Record)
SPX + 1 = 2561 (Record)
NAS + 0.56 = 6624 (Record)
RUT + 7 = 1505
10 Y + .04 = 2.34%
OIL + .03 = 52.07
GOLD – 4.30 = 1281.50

Cryptocurrency 

  • Number of Currencies: 872
  • Total Market Cap: $169,632,917,992
  • 24H Volume: $5,029,229,846

Top Cryptocurrencies

  Name Symbol Price USD Market Cap Vol. Total Vol. % Price BTC Chg. % 1D Chg. % 7D
  Bitcoin BTC 5,627.1 $93.66B $2.41B 48.10% 1 +0.94% +15.98%
  Ethereum ETH 315.86 $30.13B $611.96M 12.20% 0.0562455 +0.62% +3.70%
  Ripple XRP 0.21733 $8.39B $323.31M 6.44% 0.00003869 +0.50% -17.52%
  Bitcoin Cash BCH 327.54 $5.49B $460.27M 9.17% 0.0583761 -3.27% +4.67%
  Litecoin LTC 60.840 $3.25B $293.12M 5.84% 0.0108171 +0.26% +19.46%
  Dash DASH 298.30 $2.28B $38.73M 0.77% 0.0531836 +0.86% +0.68%
  NEM XEM 0.22017 $1.99B $3.48M 0.07% 0.00003926 +2.65% +3.30%
  NEO NEO 29.117 $1.44B $47.65M 0.95% 0.00512899 -2.16% -3.21%
  BitConnect BCC 199.648 $1.44B $13.78M 0.27% 0.0354773 +4.74% +18.98%
  Monero XMR 89.32 $1.37B $35.88M 0.72% 0.0159926 +0.36% +2.54%

Yesterday the Dow Industrials topped 23,000 for the first time only to close just below the milestone. Today, the Dow sprinted past 23,000 without looking back.

Yesterday we told you IBM posted better than expected earnings and revenue (even though it was the 22nd consecutive quarter where revenue declined) but they did report growth where it counts, with revenue increasing 11% in cloud computing and software-as-a-service offerings; good enough for a 9% pop – its biggest one-day gain in almost 9 years – which, in turn, lifted the Dow. Also record highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

The Dow logged its fourth straight daily rise, as well as its 13th gain of the past 16 trading days. The S&P gained for a fourth straight day as well as its 14th positive session of the past 17. The Dow has now notched 51 record high closes this year, the most all-time high finishes in a single year since 2013.

Senate Republicans appear to have enough votes to pass a budget measure to use a procedure known as reconciliation to move tax legislation through the Senate with a simple majority, rather than the 60 votes normally required.

Reconciliation is a parliamentary procedure that allows for the expedited passage of budget-related legislation that alters revenue, spending and the federal debt limit. It is a vital technicality to moving forward on tax cuts. The Senate is expected to vote on a budget bill this week.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Politico the stock market will see a “significant” drop if tax reform is not passed. Mnuchin said, “There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done.” So, if tax cuts don’t get done, don’t blame Mnuchin – blame Congress.

Remember when the Trump administration first proposed its 9-page blueprint for tax reform. They claimed that it would not benefit the very wealthy. For almost a year now, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has pledged that wealthy Americans would receive no tax cut whatsoever. It became known as the Mnuchin Rule – no tax cuts for the wealthy, that’s the rule.

Then he softened the pledge to say that avoiding tax cuts for the rich was a goal, not a commitment.

So, it should be no surprise that today Mnuchin just gave up on his promise, admitting “it’s very hard not to give tax cuts to the wealthy with tax cuts to the middle class.” Which goes down as the stupidest thing of the day, in a day filled with stupidity. It really is simple – if you promise no tax cuts for the wealthy, you don’t cut their taxes – simple, you just don’t lie.

Yesterday, Senators Lamar Alexander and Patty Murray announced a bipartisan deal to stabilize Obamacare by restoring subsidies to health insurers. The agreement would shore up Obamacare by reviving billions of dollars of federal subsidies to insurers for two years to help lower-income Americans obtain medical coverage. Alexander said that Trump had “completely engineered” the bipartisan proposal.

On Tuesday, Trump said the White House was involved in the negotiations and that the agreement was “a very good solution” for a short-term approach, but today he said he could “never support bailing out” insurance companies.

Trump’s decision to end key Obamacare payments is already reverberating throughout the health insurance market. Blue Cross Blue Shield of North Carolina announced its final Obamacare exchange premium increases for 2018 on Wednesday, and it pinned a significant amount of the increase on Trump. BCBS said it was forced to increase premiums due to lost funding from Obamacare’s cost-sharing reduction (CSR) payments.

There is a slice of people in the market, roughly 10% according to BCBS NC, who do not receive the tax credit and will therefore bear the brunt of the increase caused by the lost CSRs. The announcement comes just a few days after a similar announcement from the Department of Insurance in Pennsylvania. According to the department, the average Obamacare premiums in the state would increase 30.6% in 2018, up from 7.6% if the CSRs continued.

American Express reported quarterly earnings and revenue that beat analysts’ expectations and raised its forecast for the year. The company also announced that Stephen Squeri will succeed Kenneth Chenault as CEO, effective February 1, 2018.

Northern Trust
 also posted quarterly results, beating top and bottom-line estimates. The company’s stock rose 3.8 percent and was among the best performers in the S&P 500.

United Airlines said its third-quarter net income fell by a third to $669 million from the year-ago period, partly due to $185 million in pretax losses caused by canceled flights during the Atlantic hurricane season.

EBay forecast current-quarter adjusted profit that was largely below analysts’ estimates as the company continues to ramp up spending to tweak its e-commerce platforms.

One of the world’s biggest mining companies and two of its former top executives are in trouble for allegedly overstating the value of a mine in Africa by billions of dollars. The Securities and Exchange Commission claims that Rio Tinto realized the mine was worth significantly less within a year of purchasing it, but did not share that information with investors until 2013. In a filing with a district court in New York, the SEC accused the company and the two former senior executives of fraud.

Ford is recalling 1.3 million F-series pickup trucks, the best-selling vehicle in America, for a door latch problem that could allow the door to open while the truck is moving. The affected models include some of the model year 2015, 2016 and 2017 F-150’s, as well as some 2017 Super Duty pickups.

Two weeks before a Federal Reserve FOMC policy meeting, the Fed publishes the Beige Book, a collection of reports and observations from Fed districts around the country. The latest snapshot of the economy shows modest to moderate growth and few signs of inflation.

Hurricanes Harvey and Irma hit during the survey period and will have a negative effect on third-quarter economic growth, the Fed has said, although it expects the impact to be temporary. “Despite widespread labor tightness, the majority of districts reported only modest to moderate wage pressures.” Shortages were particularly acute in construction, transportation, skilled manufacturing, and some healthcare and service positions. “These shortages were also restraining business growth,” the Fed said.

However, this did not feed through into higher wages and there also was little change overall in selling prices despite several districts reporting increased manufacturing input costs.

Once every 5 years, the Chinese Communist Party gets together and today was the day. Chinese President Xi Jinping laid out a confident vision for a more prosperous nation and its role in the world. The speech was heavy on aspiration and short on specific plans.

On the economy, Xi said China would relax market access for foreign investment, expand access to its services sector and deepen market-oriented reform of its exchange rate and financial system, while at the same time strengthening state firms.

Homebuilding fell to a one-year low in September as Hurricanes Harvey and Irma disrupted the construction of single-family homes in the South, suggesting housing probably remained a drag on economic growth in the third quarter. Housing starts decreased 4.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.127 million units. That was the lowest level since September 2016 and marked the third monthly decline in starts. Building permits fell 4.5 percent.

Inequality and economic insecurity have been rising for American workers — and the situation is only getting worse as they age into retirement. The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development released a study that found the gap between wealthy and low income seniors is wider in the United States than it is in all but two of its 35 member nations — Mexico and Chile.

Although previous generations of retired Americans have seen rising levels of economic security, that trend appears to be coming to an end. Lower wages and the decline of pensions for middle-class workers are combining to create a class of older people with very thin financial cushions.

Tomorrow marks the 30th anniversary of Black Monday – the Crash of 1987. On that day, the Dow lost 508 points, a fall of nearly 23%. At today’s market heights, a percentage fall of that magnitude would knock more than 5,200 points off the DJIA.

The crash was blamed on a number of factors, but at heart, it was the growing complexity of the market that seemed to overwhelm participants and set the stage for the calamity. Computerized trading, then in its infancy, combined with new hedging strategies that used relatively newfangled stock-index futures contracts were all part of the picture.

The market is much more complex now – not necessarily a good thing. The major exchanges now have automatic trading curbs in place – meaning a 23% one-day crash shouldn’t happen, at least in theory.

Stocks Gain Ground, Dow Rallies

On the Market
Posted: 10/18/2017 4:15 PM EDT

Stocks Gain Ground, Dow Rallies
 
U.S. stocks finished higher with Dow member IBM's quarterly results aiding the blue chip index to close well above the 23,000 mark for the first time. Treasury yields rose despite continued uncertainty in regard to the future leadership of the Federal Reserve. Housing construction activity disappointed and the Fed's Beige Book noted a modest and moderate increase in domestic economic activity. The U.S. dollar and crude oil prices were little changed, while gold was lower. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rallied 160 points (0.7%) to 23,158, the S&P 500 Index added 2 points (0.1%) to 2,561, and the Nasdaq Composite was nearly 1 point higher at 6,624. In moderate volume, 677 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 1.7 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil ticked $0.15 higher to $52.26 per barrel and wholesale gasoline increased $0.01 to $1.64 per gallon. Elsewhere, the Bloomberg gold spot price lost $4.04 to $1,281.08 per ounce, and the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was nearly unchanged at 93.41.

Dow member International Business Machines Corp. (IBM $160) reported Q3 earnings-per-share (EPS) of $2.92, or $3.30 ex-items, versus the $3.28 FactSet estimate, as revenues dipped 0.4% year-over-year (y/y) to $19.2 billion, topping the expected $18.6 billion. The company's cloud revenue rose 20% y/y, helping it achieve double-digit growth in its strategic imperatives. IBM reaffirmed its full-year earnings outlook and projected Q4 revenues that topped forecasts and would end a 22-quarter streak of declines. Shares rallied.

Abbott Laboratories(ABT $56) reported Q3 EPS of $0.32, or $0.66 ex-items, versus the projected $0.65, with revenues rising 5.6% y/y to $6.8 billion, compared to the expected $6.7 billion. ABT issued Q4 profit guidance that matched forecasts, while it narrowed its full-year earnings outlook. Shares traded higher.

Housing construction activity misses, ahead of Fed's business activity report

Housing starts (chart) for September dropped 4.7% month-over-month (m/m) to an annual pace of 1,127,000 units, below the Bloomberg forecast of a 1,175,000 unit rate. August starts were upwardly revised to an annual pace of 1,183,000. Starts on both single and multi-unit structures were down m/m but are higher compared to the last year. Building permits, one of the leading indicators tracked by the Conference Board as it is a gauge of future construction, fell 4.5% m/m in September to an annual rate of 1,215,000, after August's downwardly revised 1,272,000 rate, and south of the expected annual pace of 1,245,000 units. Permits for single unit structures were up m/m and y/y, while multi-family units were down sharply m/m and y/y.

The MBA Mortgage Application Index rose 3.6% last week, following the prior week's 2.1% decline. The increase came as a 3.0% gain in the Refinance Index was met with a 4.2% rise in the Purchase Index. The average 30-year mortgage rate decreased 2 basis points (bps) to 4.14%.
Mortgage demand appears healthy and home-buying incentives may be bolstered by continued relatively low interest rates and high rental rates in some areas of the country, as discussed as one of the reasons we have an outperform rating on the financial sector in Schwab's Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen's, CFA, latest, Schwab Sector Views: Sustainable Energy?.

In afternoon action, the Federal Reserve released its Beige Book, a summary of business activity across the nation used as a tool to prepare for its next two-day monetary policy meeting ending on November 1st. The report indicated that domestic economic activity increased at a pace split between modest and moderate in September through early October. Major disruptions from hurricanes Harvey and Irma were reported in some areas and sectors in the Richmond, Atlanta and Dallas Districts. Meanwhile, job growth was modest on balance, and labor markets continued to be characterized as "tight."

The report also noted that price pressures remained modest and several Districts noted increased manufacturing input costs that in most cases weren't passed through to selling prices, while retail prices increased slightly. For our analysis of inflation, Schwab's Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders notes in her article, The Waiting: Wage Growth and Inflation Finally Getting in Gear?, with wage growth picking up and the labor market even tighter, it’s time to put even traditional measures of inflation back on the radar screen. Also, Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, notes his commentary, Inflation May Be The Biggest Question For Investors In 2018, that central banks are behaving as if wages and inflation will revive in the year ahead. If they don’t, and central banks don’t alter their policy path, the global stock markets could be in for a rough 2018.

Global monetary policy remains in focus as many central banks appear to be shifting onto the path to normalization, while the upcoming end of Fed Chief Janet Yellen's term is fostering some uncertainty. Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop discusses, How the Shift by Central Banks May Affect the Stock Market, and Schwab's Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Kathy Jones talks in the video with Vice President of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick, Should a Change in Fed Leadership Matter to Investors?. Tax reform continues to garner attention, with the Senate expected to vote this week on its budget resolution that could help nudge it further down the long road to fruition, as discussed by Schwab's Vice President of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs, Michael T. Townsend in the article, Tax Reform Framework Released, But The Road Ahead Is Long.

Check out these articles and video on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. Follow our Schwab experts on Twitter: @lizannsonders, @jeffreykleintop, @kathyjones and @randyafrederick.
Treasuries finished lower, with the yield on the 2-year note ticking 2 bps higher to 1.56%, while the yields on the 10-year note and 30-year bond rose 4 bps to 2.34% and 2.85%, respectively. The U.S. dollar was little changed as global economic optimism was countered by the aforementioned uncertainties.

Tomorrow, the U.S. economic calendar will begin with weekly initial jobless claims, forecasted to have ticked lower to a level of 240,000 from the prior week's 243,000, as well as the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, anticipated to have ticked lower to a reading of 22.0 in October from 23.8 in September. Rounding out the day, we'll receive the Leading Index for September, expected to increase 0.1% m/m after rising 0.4% in August.

Europe higher despite lingering political uneasiness, Asia mixed as Japan continues streak

European equity markets finished higher, despite festering political uncertainty as the independence standoff between Spain and Catalonia continues, with that latter given a deadline of Thursday morning to renounce independence claims. Also, Brexit talks remain in a deadlock ahead of this week's summit of European Union leaders. For analysis, see Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, and Randy Frederick's video, Political Risk: How Should Investors Respond?, and our article, Brexit Begins: What's Next for the U.K?, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. IBM's earnings results across the pond appeared to foster some optimism regarding global earnings as the season kicks into gear. The euro ticked higher and British pound dipped versus the U.S. dollar, while bond yields in the region gained solid ground to boost financials. In economic news, U.K. employment change came in below forecasts, while eurozone construction output declined in August.

Stocks in Asia finished mixed as the markets await a flood of Chinese economic data tonight, headlined by the nation's Q3 GDP report, which is expected to show growth slowed slightly to a 6.8% y/y pace from 6.9% in Q2. Also, the commencement of China's Communist Party National Congress was in focus but comments from President Xi offered no huge changes to the country's outlook. Shares trading in Hong Kong and mainland China gained ground. Japanese equities nudged higher to continue a winning streak to 12 sessions, which has led the Nikkei 225 Index to its highest level since 1996. Japan's stock market has contributed to the global rally and Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, and Randy Frederick discuss in the video, Are Investors Underestimating the Stock Market Rally?, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. Stocks trading in South Korea and India dipped, while Australian securities finished mostly flat.

The international economic docket for tomorrow will include trade data, the All Industry Activity Index and machine tool orders from Japan, employment data and business confidence from Australia and retail sales from the U.K., while China will release retail sales in addition to its aforementioned GDP report.

23K(ish)

Financial Review

23K(ish)


DOW + 40 = 22,997 (Record)
SPX + 1 = 2559 (Record)
NAS – 0.35 = 6623
RUT – 5 = 1497
10 Y – .01 = 2.30%
OIL + .14 = 52.01
GOLD – 9.70 = 1285.80

Cryptocurrency

  • Number of Currencies: 881
  • Total Market Cap: $164,018,283,218
  • 24H Volume: $4,954,812,161

Top Cryptocurrencies

  Name Symbol Price USD Market Cap Vol. Total Vol. % Price BTC Chg. % 1D Chg. % 7D
  Bitcoin BTC 5,358.1 $89.65B $1.86B 37.48% 1 -4.27% +12.45%
  Ethereum ETH 304.46 $29.07B $530.61M 10.71% 0.0568999 -3.54% +1.24%
  Ripple XRP 0.22479 $8.75B $412.24M 8.32% 0.00004228 -1.92% -13.77%
  Bitcoin Cash BCH 345.00 $5.95B $942.47M 19.02% 0.0663392 -6.41% +12.14%
  Litecoin LTC 56.180 $3.01B $208.32M 4.20% 0.0105002 -5.10% +11.48%
  Dash DASH 287.68 $2.21B $41.24M 0.83% 0.0538494 -3.45% -0.64%
  NEM XEM 0.21036 $1.89B $3.05M 0.06% 0.00003909 -5.30% -2.68%
  NEO NEO 29.112 $1.45B $78.17M 1.58% 0.00540911 -8.06% -4.17%
  Monero XMR 89.19 $1.36B $44.46M 0.90% 0.016648 -1.85% +2.95%
  BitConnect BCC 186.401 $1.34B $13.34M 0.27% 0.0347181 -4.43% +14.14%

The Dow Industrials and the S&P 500 hit another record high close. The Nasdaq Composite barely missed. The Dow briefly moved above 23,000 intraday – for the first time ever. Wait for 24,000 before you buy a hat.

It took 53 trading days for the Dow industrials to move from 22,000 to the 23,000 mark. Don’t know how long you might have to wait. Valuations seem a bit high at these levels. But a 1,000-point move isn’t what it used to be. If the Dow picks up another 1,000 points to reach 24,000, that will represent a 4.3% advance from the 23,000 mark.

Two senators announced a bipartisan breakthrough to shore up Obamacare, a least for the short-term. The agreement worked out by Republican Senator Lamar Alexander and Democratic Senator Patty Murray would meet some Democratic, including a revival of the subsidies for Obamacare and restoring $106 million in funding for a federal program that helps people enroll in insurance plans.

In exchange, Republicans would get more flexibility for states to offer a wider variety of health insurance plans while maintaining the requirement that sick and healthy people be charged the same rates for coverage. The deal still has to make it through both houses of Congress and be signed by Trump.

If it becomes law, it could end a chaotic situation for insurers after the White House moved last week to dismantle parts of the Affordable Care Act. Shares of U.S. hospital operators moved higher after news of the deal. Tenet shares were up 4 percent, while HCA was 2.3 percent higher. Shares of some health insurers also extended their gains on the day, with Anthem up 2.5 percent and Centene rising 2.8 percent.

UnitedHealth, the largest US health insurer, is the first health insurer to report and its third-quarter net earnings rose 26.3 percent, beating analysts’ expectations. Its shares rose more than 5 percent

Trade ministers from the United States, Canada and Mexico wrapped up a contentious round of NAFTA negotiations. The three sides agreed to carry on with talks and said they would negotiate into the first quarter of 2018, beyond the end-year framework initially envisaged to complete the negotiations.

Canada and Mexico have rejected U.S. proposals involving the dairy and auto sectors, dispute resolution, government procurement and a sunset clause that would effectively end NAFTA after five years unless all parties agree to extend it.

A federal judge in Hawaii on Tuesday granted a temporary restraining order against Trump’s third travel ban, just hours before it was set to take effect at midnight. Trump issued a proclamation last month restricting travel to the US from nationals of eight countries, including Iran, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Venezuela, Chad, Libya, and North Korea.

Those restrictions came after the first two iterations of the travel ban, which targeted majority-Muslim nations, faced court challenges. Trump’s second travel ban was partly implemented, and the Supreme Court was scheduled to hear arguments on its constitutionality in October. But the justices removed oral arguments from the schedule after part of the second ban expired and Trump issued the third ban as a replacement in September.

The third ban will likely make its way to the Supreme Court, as well, though it must go through the appellate court system first. Another federal court is also expected to rule on the ban in a separate legal challenge. Almost immediately, the Department of Justice announced it would appeal the ruling.

Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs reported earnings and they followed a pattern of weak results due to calm markets. Like JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, the firms that reported today showed a decline in fixed-income trading revenue. Low volatility has been problematic for Wall Street, especially compared with what was an active trading environment in the third quarter of 2016.

Goldman’s fixed-income trading revenue dropped 26 percent from a year ago, while Morgan Stanley posted a 21 percent decline. Still, both banks’ debt trading units slightly beat analyst expectations for the quarter. Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan all posted record revenue from their wealth- and asset-management units as stock markets hit records and after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates three times in the past year.

Goldman Sachs also gained from rising markets, as its revenue from equity investments climbed to the highest in almost four years. JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America and Wells Fargo boosted provisions for consumer loan losses from the previous quarter, which could be a leading indicator of a turn in the credit cycle. Goldman Sachs reported earnings of $5.02 per share vs. $4.17 expected.

Also, revenue of $8.33 billion also easily beat expectations of $7.54 billion. Goldman Sachs was down 2.6%. Morgan Stanley posted earnings of 93 cents a share – topping estimates of 81 cents. Morgan Stanley was up slightly.

IBM reported third-quarter net income of $2.7 billion, or $2.92 a share, compared to $3.2 billion, or $2.98 a share, in the year-ago period – still, that beat estimates. Revenue fell slightly to $19.1 billion from $19.2 billion in the year-ago period, marking the 22-consecutive quarter of revenue declines. IBM shares popped 4% in after-hours trade.

Yesterday, after the closing bell, Netflix reported earnings – a modest beat, but they added a whole bunch of subscribers. And one of the major reasons they keep adding subscribers is because they keep adding movies. Netflix has released at least 34 original movies so far in 2017. It plans to release 80 next year. That’s more titles than most movie studios release in a year.

Disney—which also owns Pixar, Marvel Studios, and Lucasfilm—released 13 movies in the US in 2016; Time Warner’s Warner Bros., New Line, Fine Line, Warner Independent, and Picturehouse studios released a combined 23 films; and Sony, which released the most, put out 38 movies throughout its studio portfolio last year, less than half of what Netflix is proposing.

Netflix is padding its already massive content budget to support the ambitious movie-release schedule it has planned. It expects to spend between $7-8 billion on content overall next year, up from $6 billion in 2017. Even with a recently announced hike in subscription fees, you have to wonder if Netflix is experiencing a bit of cash burn. Netflix shares dropped about $3 today.

Volvo and Chinese parent company Geely unveiled the first model of its new Polestar electric brand, and announced a more than $750 million investment to develop the brand further. It is the first step to developing high-performance electric cars that are aimed at some of the same customers targeted by makers such as Tesla.

The first production car will be the Polestar 1, a hybrid 600-horsepower two-door, four-seater hybrid coupe, with just above 90 miles of pure electric range. That car will go into production in 2019. It will be followed soon by an all-electric car aptly named the Polestar 2.

Industrial production in the U.S. rebounded in September after two straight declines, rising 0.3% in September. Capacity utilization rose to 76% from 75.8% but remained below summer levels.

Production for July, meanwhile, was revised to show a small decline instead of a 0.4% gain. The decline in August lowered to 0.7% from 0.9%. Most industries boosted output in September, led by construction and utilities.

Manufacturing production edged up 0.1%. The most notable decline was in chemicals, an industry concentrated in the South. A pair of major storms that swept through the region from Texas to Florida held down U.S. production by about 0.25 percentage points.

Industrial production fell at a 1.5% annual rate in the third quarter, but the Fed said its index would have risen at least 0.5% if not for the hurricanes. Other indicators of heavy industry points to steadily rising sales and production and that’s likely to help keep the U.S. on its current 2% annual growth path.

The cost of imported goods jumped 0.7% in September in the biggest gain in more than a year, led by fuel prices and industrial supplies. Excluding fuel, import prices rose a smaller 0.3%.

Sentiment among home builders spiked in October after faltering over the summer. The National Association of Home Builder’s monthly confidence gauge jumped four points to a reading of 68, the highest reading since May. The NAHB warned that builders need to be mindful of long-term repercussions from the recent hurricanes, such as intensified material price increases and labor shortages.

And a final note, if you follow the metals markets you may have noticed that palladium is now trading around $980, while platinum is just $938 an ounce. That reverses long-term price trends.

Friday, May 05, 2017

Stocks Manage Late-Day Advance

Charles Schwab: On the Market
Posted: 5/5/2017 4:15 PM ET

Stocks Manage Late-Day Advance

U.S. stocks managed a mid-afternoon advance to finish the trading session higher as domestic markets grappled with a jobs report that showed growth rebounded but wages were mixed. Treasury yields were mostly lower and the U.S. dollar dipped, while crude oil prices rebounded from a recent drop to power gains in the energy sector. Political uncertainty remained after yesterday's passage in the House of a health care bill and ahead of this weekend's second round of the French Presidential election. Dow member IBM was lower after Warren Buffett said he trimmed his stake in the company. Gold was little changed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) gained 55 points (0.3%) to 21,007, the S&P 500 Index added 10 points (0.4%) to 2,399, and the Nasdaq Composite ticked 25 points (0.4%) higher to 6,101. In moderately-heavy volume, 830 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 1.9 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil gained $0.70 to $46.22 per barrel and wholesale gasoline increased $0.02 to $1.50 per gallon. Elsewhere, the Bloomberg gold spot price added $1.13 to $1,229.29 per ounce, and the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was 0.2% lower at 98.56. Markets were higher for the week, as the DJIA advanced 0.3%, the S&P 500 Index gained 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.8%.

Dow member International Business Machines Corp. (IBM $155) saw pressure after Billionaire investor Warren Buffett told CNBC that his company Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK/B $167) had sold about a third of its stake in the tech giant.

Cigna Corp. (CI $160) reported Q1 earnings-per-share (EPS) of $2.30, or $2.77 ex-items, versus the $2.45 FactSet estimate, as revenues rose 5.0% year-over-year (y/y) to $10.4 billion, above the forecasted $10.1 billion. CI raised its full-year profit and revenue guidance. The company noted continued strong growth in its Commercial Healthcare and Global Supplemental Benefits segments, partially offset by contraction, as expected, in its Seniors business. Shares traded higher.

Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI $54) posted Q1 EPS of $0.56, or $0.31 ex-items, compared to the projected $0.21, with revenues rising 31.7% y/y to $1.2 billion, versus the expected $1.1 billion. The game maker issued Q2 EPS guidance that missed estimates, while raising its full-year profit outlook that remains below expectations. Shares gained modest ground.

CBS Corp. (CBS $65) announced Q1 profits of $1.09 per share, or $1.04 ex-items, compared to the estimated $0.95, as revenues declined 6.8% y/y to $3.3 billion, roughly in line with expectations. Shares advanced on analyst optimism about the company's revenue diversification amid negative advertising revenue trends seen by some of its peers in the traditional pay-TV segment.

April nonfarm payroll report tops forecasts

Nonfarm payrolls (chart) rose by 211,000 jobs month-over-month (m/m) in April, compared to the Bloomberg forecast of a 190,000 increase. The rise of 98,000 seen in March was revised to a gain of 79,000 jobs. The total downward revision to the job gains in March and February was 6,000. Excluding government hiring and firing, private sector payrolls increased by 194,000, versus the forecasted gain of 190,000, after increasing by 77,000 in March, revised from the 89,000 rise that was initially reported. The report was led by job gains in leisure and hospitality, healthcare, professional and business services, financial activities and mining, while retail services job growth rebounded. Employment in construction and manufacturing remained sluggish.

The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.4% from 4.5%, hitting the lowest level since May 2007, versus forecasts to tick higher to 4.6%, while average hourly earnings rose 0.3% m/m, matching projections. However, y/y wage growth slowed to a 2.5% pace, missing the 2.7% projection, from the negatively revised 2.6% rise in March after the m/m gain was downwardly revised to 0.1%. Finally, average weekly hours came in at 34.4 from March's unrevised 34.3 rate, in line with estimates.

Despite the mixed wage picture, the jobs data adds credence to Schwab's Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen's, CFA, view in his latest Schwab Sector Views: Is Retail Really Dead?, that the status of the U.S. consumer looks to us to be quite solid and is showing signs of improving.

The report may be easing concerns about the slowing of Q1 GDP growth, which the Fed characterized as likely being transitory as it keep its monetary policy stance unchanged on Wednesday. Schwab’s Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders notes in her latest article, ½ Full: Seeing Through a Weak Q1, that leading indicators say a lot more about the economy prospectively than backward-looking measures like GDP, and they remain quite healthy. Liz Ann concludes that we are likely just experiencing yet another "soft patch" in an ongoing expansion; so for now, "I am seeing the glass as half full." Read both these articles on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com. Follow Liz Ann and Schwab on Twitter: @lizannsonders and @schwabresearch.

Consumer credit, released in the final hour of trading, showed consumer borrowing advanced by $16.4 billion during March, well above the $14.0 billion forecast of economists polled by Bloomberg, while February's figure was adjusted lower to an increase of $13.7 billion from the originally reported $15.2 billion. Non-revolving debt, which includes student loans and loans for vehicles and mobile homes, climbed by $14.5 billion, while revolving debt, which includes credit cards, increased by $2.0 billion.

Treasuries finished mostly higher in choppy action as the yield on the 2-year note was unchanged at 1.31%, while the yields on the 10-year note and the 30-year bond dipped 1 basis point (bp) to 2.35% and 2.99%, respectively. For analysis of the interest rate environment, see our article, Mixed Signals: What Does Recent Economic Data Mean for Bonds?, on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com, where you can also find our latest commentary, Cash: What to Consider in the New Rate Environment. Follow Schwab on Twitter: @schwabresearch.

Finally, the political front remained in focus in the wake of yesterday's passage in the House of an Affordable Care Act replacement bill, which now faces the Senate. For commentary on the political front, Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, discusses What the Coming Tax Cuts Mean for the Stock Market on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter: @jeffreykleintop. Moreover, see the video from Schwab's Vice President of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick's and Vice President of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs, Michael T. Townsend's video, Washington Overview: Budget Deals, Tax Reform, and Trump's 100-Day Mark, on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com. Follow Randy on Twitter: @randyafrederick.

Europe higher, Asia lower 

European equities finished higher, with basic materials and oil & gas issues rebounding amid recoveries from the recent slides in metals and crude oil prices, while the markets digested the favorable U.S. employment report. Commodity prices have tumbled amid some softness in economic data out of China and the U.S., along with exacerbated oil supply concerns. For a look at the sectors, see Schwab's Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen's, CFA, articles, Materials Sector Rating: Marketperform and Energy Sector Rating Marketperform, on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com.

Meanwhile, stocks appeared to shrug off lingering political uncertainty ahead of this weekend's second round of the French Presidential election, while Brexit negotiations continue with a looming U.K. election in June, which will be followed by a German election later this year. For analysis of the political uncertainty see Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, and Randy Frederick's video, Political Risk: How Should Investors Respond? on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com, where you can also find our article, Brexit Begins: What's Next for the U.K?, while Director of International Research, Michelle Gibley CFA, offers her article, Europe Votes: Could More Countries Reject the EU? on the International Investing page at www.schwab.com. Eurozone business activity in the retail sector moved back to a level depicting expansion. The euro and British pound ticked higher versus the U.S. dollar and bond yields in the region finished mixed.

Stocks in Asia finished lower, with the recent drop in commodity prices, notably metals and crude oil prices, pressuring the basic materials and energy sectors, while the markets were likely cautious ahead of today's U.S. labor report. Also, China remained hamstrung by recent soft economic data and uneasiness toward regulatory crackdowns in the financial system. Shares trading in mainland China and Hong Kong fell, while securities in Australia and India also declined. Volume remained lighter than usual as markets in Japan remained closed for a holiday, while South Korea also took a holiday break. With political and geopolitical uncertainty festering, Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, offers the articles, Missiles and Markets: An investor guide to geopolitical risks on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com, as well as, Top Five Trade Issues Investors Should Be Watching on the International Investing page at www.schwab.com.

Stocks glide after digesting a plethora of mixed market sustenance

Coming off back-to-back solid weekly gains, stocks treaded water amid a plethora of divergent events. Political uncertainty on both sides of the pond lingered ahead of this weekend's French Presidential election and as the House passed a bill aimed at repealing and replacing the U.S. Affordable Care Act. The Fed kept its policy stance unchanged as expected but the markets seemed to continue to grapple with the prospect of the Central Bank trimming its bloated balance sheet. Friday's stronger-than-expected labor report was preceded by an upbeat ISM non-Manufacturing Index that showed key services sector activity grew faster than expected, but another disappointing monthly auto sales report exacerbated worries about hard data being soft. Commodity prices fell, headlined by a drop to multi-month lows for crude oil prices to weigh on the energy sector, though technology stocks continued to rally, shrugging off a mixed earnings report from Dow member Apple Inc. (AAPL $148), and financials led the way as Treasury yields continued a recovery. Earnings season reached the home stretch, continuing to mostly top elevated expectations. About 65% have bested revenue forecasts and 78% have exceeded profit projections out of the 410 companies that have reported thus far from the S&P 500, per data compiled by Bloomberg.

With earnings season well past the apex, the economic front will likely garner more attention next week, delivering April inflation readings such as the Import Price Index, Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI). Also, the all-important U.S. consumer will be on display, courtesy of the releases of April retail sales and the preliminary May University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.

As noted in the latest Schwab Market Perspective: Should Sharp Sentiment Shifts Mean a Change in Strategy?, a shift in sentiment has led to a sharp reversal in market action recently, with leadership shifting back toward cyclical areas of the market. We continue to believe the bull market will continue due to decent economic growth and a good profits picture, but there will likely be sentiment-driven dips and surges to come. We urge investors to remain disciplined and focus on longer-term horizons and the underlying fundamentals of the economy. Read more on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com.

International reports due out next week that deserve a mention include: Australia—building approvals and retail sales. China—trade balance, CPI and PPI, and lending statistics. India—trade balance, CPI and industrial production. Japan—trade balance. Eurozone—industrial production, along with German factory orders, trade balance and Q1 GDP. U.K.—industrial and manufacturing production, trade balance and the Bank of England's monetary policy decision.

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Markets Mixed, IBM Weighs on Dow

Charles Schwab: On the Market
Posted: 4/19/2017 4:15 PM ET

Markets Mixed, IBM Weighs on Dow

U.S. equities finished mixed, with IBM applying most of the pressure to the Dow following another revenue miss by the tech giant. Furthermore, an uptick in Treasury yields and upbeat results from Morgan Stanley weren't able to lend much support to financials, who tried to battle back from a plunge yesterday. Energy issues faltered amid a drop in crude oil prices, despite a decline in oil inventories that matched estimates. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar bounced back, and gold was lower, while markets had little reaction to today's release of the Fed's Beige Book report.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) declined 119 points (0.6%) to 20,404, the S&P 500 Index lost 4 points (0.2%) to 2,338, while the Nasdaq Composite increased 14 points (0.2%) to 5,863. In moderate volume, 821 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 1.7 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil fell $2.00 to $50.85 per barrel and wholesale gasoline was $0.05 lower at $1.66 per gallon. Elsewhere, the Bloomberg gold spot price decreased $9.76 to $1,280.00 per ounce, and the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—rose 0.3% to 99.81.

Morgan Stanley (MS $42) reported 1Q earnings-per-share (EPS) of $1.00, above the $0.89 FactSet estimate, as revenues rose 25.1% year-over-year (y/y) to $9.7 billion, topping the projected $9.3 billion. The company said all its businesses performed well in improved market conditions, while it recognized that the environment remains uncertain. Shares gained solid ground.

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM $162) posted 1Q EPS of $1.85, or $2.38 ex-items, versus the expected $2.35, as revenues declined 3.0% y/y to $18.2 billion, below the forecasted $18.4 billion. This was the 20th consecutive quarterly revenue decline. IBM reaffirmed its full-year earnings outlook. Shares fell.

Lam Research Corp. (LRCX $136) announced fiscal 3Q profits of $3.10 per share, or $2.80 ex-items, compared to the estimated $2.55, with revenues rising 63.9% y/y and 14.0% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) to $2.2 billion, north of the expected $2.1 billion. The semiconductor equipment and services company issued 4Q guidance that exceeded the Street's forecasts. Shares rallied.

Beige Book shows continued growth, mortgage applications decline

In afternoon action, the Federal Reserve released its Beige Book report, a look at business activity across the nation used as a preparation tool for the Fed's next two-day monetary policy meeting set to conclude on May 3rd. Within the report, the Fed noted that all 12 Districts reported modest-to-moderate economic growth, with the uptick evident to varying degrees across all economic sectors. In addition, wages increased modestly, but broadened out, as the labor market remains tight, with a large number of businesses indicating higher turnover rates and difficulties in retaining employees. On the inflation and housing fronts, the report showed that prices climbed only slightly, while a lack of inventory was restraining demand for homes, despite accelerated growth in residential construction.

The MBA Mortgage Application Index declined 1.8% last week, following the previous week's 1.5% increase. The decrease came as a 0.2% gain for the Refinance Index was met with a 3.4% drop for the Purchase Index. The average 30-year mortgage rate declined 6 basis points (bps) to 4.22%.

Treasuries finished lower, as the yield on the 2-year note increased 1 bp to 1.17%, the yield on the 10-year note rose 4 bps to 2.21%, and the 30-year bond rate gained 3 bps to 2.87%.

Bond yields and the U.S. dollar have rebounded somewhat from recent drops that have come courtesy of flared-up geopolitical concerns, along with increased political uncertainty as the U.K. approved a snap election in June. Also, President Donald Trump recently commented that he thought the greenback was getting "too strong," while on the economic front "hard" data has continued to lag the "soft" data (confidence/survey-based), notably some cooler-than-expected inflation figures.

For a look at the data, see our latest article, Data Divide: Are People Too Enthusiastic About the Economy? on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com, and follow Schwab on Twitter: @schwabresearch.

For a look at the moves in the bond markets, see Schwab's Senior Fixed Income Research Analyst, Collin Martin's, CFA, latest article titled, What Investors Should Know About the High-Yield Bond Rally on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com, along with Collin's and Vice President of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick's video Fed Hiked Interest Rates, So Why Are Bond Yields Still So Low?. Randy and Schwab's Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Kathy Jones also discuss, Three Fed Hikes Seen in 2017: How Should Bond Investors Respond?. See these and other videos on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com. Follow Randy and Kathy on Twitter: @randyafrederick and @kathyjones.

Finally, Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, offers a look at investing amid heightened geopolitical tensions in his article, Missiles and Markets: An investor guide to geopolitical risks on the Markets & Economy page at www.schwab.com. Follow Jeff on Twitter: @jeffreykleintop.

Tomorrow's economic calendar will give investors a mix of data to peruse, including weekly initial jobless claims, with forecasts calling for an increase to a level of 240,000 from the prior week's 234,000, as well as the Index of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI), with economists anticipating a 0.2% m/m increase for March following the 0.6% rise posted in February. Finally, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index will round out the day, expected to have moved lower during the month to a level of 25.5 from the 32.8 registered in March.

Europe mostly higher as financials rebound, Asia mostly lower as concerns linger

European equities finished the day mostly higher, courtesy of a rebound in financials from yesterday's drop, as Morgan Stanley's upbeat earnings report eased concerns from yesterday's surprise miss by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS $214) in the U.S. Also, shares of Banco Popular SA (BPESY $3) extended yesterday's solid rebound as reports suggesting the Spanish lender divested some non-performing assets appeared to soothe concerns about the company's capital position, while a relative reprieve in the recent drop in bond yields likely offered support. Carmakers also rallied on the heels of a report showing March European auto sales rose to the highest level on record, per Bloomberg. However, oil & gas issues saw some pressure and U.K. markets remained hamstrung by heightened political uncertainty as yesterday the nation's Prime Minister Theresa May surprisingly called for a snap election in June, which received parliamentary approval today. The increased U.K. political uncertainty comes as Brexit negotiations have begun, France is expected hold the first round of its key Presidential election this weekend, and a German election later this year looms. For more on the political front in the region, see Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, and Randy Frederick's videos, "Brexit" Underway: How Can Investors Prep Now That Article 50 Has Been Triggered? and Why Should the French Presidential Election Be Important to Investors? on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com. Also, check out our article, Brexit Begins: What's Next for the U.K., on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com, while Director of International Research, Michelle Gibley CFA, offers her article, Europe Votes: Could More Countries Reject the EU? on the International Investing page at www.schwab.com.

Eurozone consumer price inflation rose in line with forecasts and the region's trade surplus widened more than expected. The euro and British pound gave back some of yesterday's gains versus the U.S. dollar and bond yields in the region were mixed but mostly higher.

Stocks in Asia finished mostly lower, with geopolitical concerns aimed at North Korea festering, while political uncertainty ramped up after U.K. Prime Minister May surprised the markets by calling for an election in June. Resource-related issues were lower as crude oil prices slipped yesterday and metals prices have come under recent pressure, though financials were a big drag following yesterday's unexpected earnings miss from Dow member Goldman Sachs and the recent drop in bond yields. As such, stocks in Australia fell, as well as those in South Korea. Chinese equities continued to be hampered by the heightened geopolitical and political uneasiness, along with concerns about stricter regulations, which have overshadowed some recent upbeat economic data in the nation, with listings in both the mainland and Hong Kong declining. For more on China, see Schwab's Michelle Gibley's, CFA, article, 5 Big Risks Posed by China (And Why They Shouldn't Crash Global Markets in 2017) and for analysis of the global landscape, see Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, article, Top Five Trade Issues Investors Should Be Watching. Get both these articles on the International Investing page at www.schwab.com. However, equities in India and Japan both ticked modestly higher, rebounding slightly from pullbacks as of late from a record run for the former and as the yen's recent rally weighed on the latter. The yen showed some late-day weakness to likely help Japanese markets.

Tomorrow's international economic calendar will hold trade data from Japan and PPI from Germany.

Tuesday, April 18, 2017

Up and Down

Financial Review

Up and Down


DOW – 113 = 20,523
SPX – 6 = 2342
NAS – 7 = 5849
RUT + 0.71 = 1361
10 Y – .07 = 2.18%
OIL – .30 = 52.35
GOLD + 5.20 = 1290.20

One day up, one day down.

Housing starts decreased 6.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.22 million units as the construction of single-family homes in the Midwest recorded its biggest decline in three years. Last month’s decline in home-building was likely payback after the warm weather pulled forward construction in February.

Single-family home-building, which accounts for the largest share of the residential housing market, fell 6.2 percent to an 821,000-unit pace last month, retreating from a near 9-1/2-year high. Single-family starts in the Midwest declined 35 percent, likely the result of harsh weather.

Still, housing remains on solid footing. Overall building permits increased 3.6 percent, driven by a 13.8 percent jump in the multi-family segment. Though single-family permits fell 1.1 percent last month, they were not too far from the more than nine-year high reached in February.

In a separate report, the Fed said manufacturing production dropped 0.4 percent in March, weighed down by a 3.0 percent decline in the output of motor vehicles and parts. That was the first and biggest decline in factory production since last August. The return of cold temperatures, however, resulted in a record 8.6 percent surge in utilities output.

Manufacturing output rose at a 2.7 percent annual rate in the first quarter as the sector, which accounts for about 12 percent of the U.S. economy, continues to recover after a prolonged drag from lower oil prices, a strong dollar and an inventory overhang.

Confidence in the U.S. economy is at its lowest point in five months. Gallup’s US Economic Confidence Index was +4 for the week ending April 16, down two points from a week earlier. It’s also fallen 12 points from early March when Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through 21,000 for the first time.

Since then, the benchmark stock index has fallen 2.7 percent. Gallup’s indicator is back to where it was shortly after President Trump was elected. Some 33 percent of respondents assessed the economy as good, while 22 percent rated it as poor. But 48 percent of respondents said the economy was getting worse, while 45 percent said it was getting better.

President Trump spoke about his “buy American, hire American” agenda at the Kenosha, Wisc., headquarters of Snap-On Tools. He signed an executive order to review high-skilled H-1B visas, which also asked federal agencies to minimize the use of waivers to Buy American policies.

Trump said, the visas should “never, ever be used to replace Americans.” He also said the North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA, should be renegotiated or he will “get rid of it” — a threat that earned mild applause from the audience.

British Prime Minister Theresa May called for an early election on June 8, saying she needed to strengthen her hand in Brexit talks with the European Union. May said she decided it was necessary to try to stop the opposition “jeopardizing” her work on Brexit. May is betting her strong showing in opinion polls will translate into a snap election victory and strengthen her parliamentary majority.

If the opinion polls are right, May will win a new mandate for a series of reforms she wants to make and a vote of confidence in a vision for Brexit which sees the country outside the EU’s single market. Britain joins a list of western European countries scheduled to hold elections this year.

Votes in France in April and May, and in Germany in September, have the potential to reshape the political landscape around the two years of Brexit talks with the EU expected to start in earnest in June.

Nicola Sturgeon, first minister of the Scottish government, described the decision as a “huge political miscalculation” that could help her efforts to hold a new independence referendum. The government of the Irish Republic also expressed concern that the early election could damage the chances of resolving a political crisis in the British province of Northern Ireland.

Bank of America had the best first quarter of the largest US banks that have reported to date, thanks to higher net interest income spurred by rising rates. Maybe the Federal Reserve should be credited with an assist. Bank of America reported total revenue rose about 7 percent to $22.4 billion in the three months ended March 31, handily beating the average analyst estimate of $21.6 billion.

Revenue from trading activities, excluding special items, rose 21.2 percent to $4 billion, helped by a 29 percent increase in fixed-income trading revenue. Net income surged about 44 percent to $4.35 billion. Earnings per share rose to 41 cents per share, topping the average analyst estimate of 35 cents.

BofA shares traded down 10 cents.

Goldman Sachs’ profit rose from a difficult year-ago quarter, with earnings per share of $5.15 versus $2.68. But the results were well short of analyst forecasts of $5.31 per share. Goldman reported a 2 percent decline in trading revenue, in sharp contrast to results from JPMorgan, Citigroup. and Bank of America, which all beat estimates due to strength in trading.

Overall, Goldman’s profit rose 80 percent to $2.2 billion from $1.2 billion in the first quarter of 2016. Revenue rose 27 percent to $8 billion from $6.3 billion.

Goldman shares fell 4.7 percent.

Johnson & Johnson reported disappointing pharmaceutical and consumer product sales. Revenue of $17.7 billion in the quarter fell short of estimates of $18 billion. Net earnings in the first quarter were $4.42 billion. Excluding items, J&J earned $1.83 per share, beating Wall Street expectations by 6 cents.

Shares fell 3.1 percent in the biggest one-day percentage decline in more than eight years.

IBM said revenue fell 2.8 percent, to $18.1 billion in the first quarter from $18.6 billion a year earlier. Revenue declined for the 20th quarter in a row. Net income dropped to $1.75 billion, or $1.85 per share, from $2 billion, or $2.09 per share.

Corning will sell up to 12.4 million miles of optical fiber to Verizon each year from 2018 through 2020, with a minimum purchase commitment of $1.05 billion. In a statement, Verizon said the deal would help it meet its roll-out schedule for a fiber-optic network in Boston. The company also views fiber as critical for a next generation, or 5G network.

Verizon is testing a 5G fixed wireless service with equipment maker Ericsson in 11 U.S. markets and expects a commercial launch as early as 2018. Both Verizon and competitor AT&T Inc have been buying assets in preparation for 5G.

Every year, Facebook founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg takes to the stage and tells a packed auditorium of developers and press about new tools, products, and initiatives the company has been working on. Facebook held its annual developers’ conference today, and called for computer programmers to assist the company by building augmented reality-based apps to work with what Facebook calls its Camera Effects Platform.

Facebook announced a new set of tools to help developers and will begin the initiative with a small number of partners in a closed test. Allow me to translate. Augmented reality, so far, refers to little stickers that can be added to photos; for instance, people can attach cartoon thought bubbles above the heads of people they view through their Facebook camera lens, or you can slap a beard on a selfie, put stars on a photo.

Maybe the best example of augmented reality is the Pokemon Go game. But take it to the next level. What if you could leave virtual notes on the wall of a restaurant, noting which item on the menu is worth ordering, or virtual notes at work – a to-do list or another reminder. Or, as Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said: “Think about how many of the things around us don’t actually need to be physical.

Instead of a $500 TV sitting in front of us, what’s to keep us from one day having it be a $1 app?” Facebook does not expect to build these software experiences itself; that’s where the developers come in.

So far, augmented reality has experienced several failed attempts to launch. Facebook’s Oculus Rift googles have been slow to find fans. Microsoft has its version of an augmented reality headset, called HoloLens, which it unveiled two years ago. Remember Google Glasses?

To keep a step ahead of Facebook, today Snap is introduced a new feature for its Snapchat messaging service that will allow users to place 3-D cartoon objects into their videos and pictures. Snap’s new technology, a 3-D lens, can also change and shift in response to physical objects.

Elizabeth Holmes, the CEO of Theranos, personally lobbied the Arizona Legislature and Gov. Doug Ducey in 2015 to pass a bill allowing people to get a blood test without a doctor’s order. Ducey touted the law to open the state up to new and innovative businesses — and he signed the legislation with Holmes standing directly behind him.

Ducey has prioritized luring companies and jobs to Arizona by passing business-friendly legislation and eliminating regulations. Fast forward to October 2016, Theranos shut down its clinical labs in several states and wellness centers inside Arizona Walgreens stores in October and laid off a large part of its workforce.

The move came after federal regulators barred company founder and CEO Elizabeth Holmes from owning or running a medical laboratory for two years, and followed reports the company’s blood tests were unreliable.

In Arizona alone, 10 percent of 1.5 million blood tests were voided or corrected. Today, Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich announced Theranos has agreed to pay $4.65 million to cover full refunds for every Arizona customer who used the company’s testing services.