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Showing posts with label PCE Deflator. Show all posts
Showing posts with label PCE Deflator. Show all posts

Friday, September 29, 2017

Stocks Trade Higher, Finish Q3 with Solid Gains

Charles Schwab: On the Market
Posted: 9/29/2017 4:15 PM EDT

Stocks Trade Higher, Finish Q3 with Solid Gains
 
U.S. stocks closed the last trading day of Q3 higher as shares added to weekly, monthly and quarterly advances. In economic developments, personal income and spending matched forecasts though the PCE deflator—a measure of consumer price inflation—was cooler-than-expected, and the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index unexpectedly jumped further into expansion territory. In equity news, KB Home topped earnings estimates and mostly matched revenue forecasts, while Tyson Foods increased its earnings outlook for the current year. Treasury yields diverged and the U.S. dollar was lower. Crude oil prices were mixed and gold traded lower.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) increased 24 points (0.1%) to 22,405, the S&P 500 Index was 9 points (0.4%) higher at 2,519, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 43 points (0.7%) to 6,496. In moderate-to-heavy volume, 929 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 2.0 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq.

WTI crude oil added $0.11 to $51.57 per barrel and wholesale gasoline was $0.02 lower at $1.59 per gallon. Elsewhere, the Bloomberg gold spot price declined $6.66 to $1,280.64 per ounce, and the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was 0.1% lower at 93.06.

Markets were higher for the week, as the DJIA gained 0.3%, the S&P 500 Index added 0.7% higher and the Nasdaq Composite increased 1.1%.

KB Home (KBH $24) reported Q3 earnings-per-share (EPS) of $0.51, above the $0.46 FactSet estimate, as revenues rose 25.0% year-over-year (y/y) to $1.1 billion, roughly in line with forecasts. The homebuilder said deliveries, average selling price, net order value and operating margin all grew. KBH said it believes it is well positioned heading into the closing months of the year, with a backlog value of more than $2.0 billion and positive conditions in most of its served markets. Shares traded solidly higher.

Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN $70) raised its earnings outlook for the current year, due primarily to much better-than-expected profits in its beef segment. The protein producer also said all its segments will perform well in 2018. Shares jumped.

The consumer staples sector is the focus of Schwab's Director of Market and Sector Analysis, Brad Sorensen's, CFA, latest Schwab Sector Views: Consumer Staples: More than Meets the Eye, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. Brad notes that the consumer staples sector is broader than most investors likely think it is and is often perceived as boring. But the group has had some real action lately, although not all of it positive. The staples group can be an important part of a portfolio, but without deteriorating economic conditions, a market weighting is the most we can justify. Follow us on Twitter: @schwabresearch.

Personal income and spending match forecasts, regional manufacturing activity jumps

Personal income (chart) was 0.2% higher month-over-month (m/m) in August, in line with the Bloomberg forecast, and compared to July's downwardly revised 0.3% increase. Personal spending ticked 0.1% higher last month, matching expectations, and versus July's unrevised 0.3% gain. The

August savings rate as a percentage of disposable income was 3.6%. The PCE Deflator was 0.2% higher, below expectations of a 0.3% gain and versus the prior month's unrevised 0.1% rise. Compared to last year, the deflator was 1.4% higher, south of estimates of a 1.5% increase and in line with July's unrevised rise. Excluding food and energy, the PCE Core Index was 0.1% higher m/m, below expectations of a 0.2% gain, and the index was up 1.3% y/y, versus estimates calling for it to match July's unrevised 1.4% increase.

The final September University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (chart) was revised lower to 95.1 from the preliminary level of 95.3, where it was expected to remain. The index was down versus August's level of 96.8. Compared to last month, the expectations component of the report improved, though the current conditions portion slipped. The 1-year inflation outlook ticked higher to 2.7% from August's 2.6% rate, and the 5-10 year forecast remained at 2.5%.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (chart) unexpectedly jumped further into expansion territory (above 50) for September, after rising to 65.2 from August's unrevised 58.9 level, and versus expectations calling for a dip to 58.7. The index moved back to near June's three-year high of 65.7 as new orders and production continued to grow, while employment moved back into expansion territory and order backlogs hit a 29-year high. However, prices paid increased significantly to the highest since July 2011, bolstered by elevated commodity prices and the hurricane(s)-induced materials shortage.

Treasuries were mixed, but tilted to the downside following the regional manufacturing report, with the yields on the 2-year and 10-year notes rising 3 basis points (bps) to 1.48% and 2.34%, respectively, while the 30-year bond rate dipped 1 bp to 2.86%.

Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar have rallied recently, with the rate on the 10-year note hitting multi-month highs and the greenback moving to a level not seen in over a month. These moves have been bolstered by heightened December Fed rate hike expectations and apparent cautious optimism regarding fiscal policy as the markets scrutinize this week's release of tax reform details.

Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, offers analysis of the global monetary policy front in his article, How the Shift by Central Banks May Affect the Stock Market, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. Also, Schwab's Vice President of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs, Michael T. Townsend discusses the tax reform details his latest article, Tax Reform Framework Released, But The Road Ahead Is Long, on the Insights & Ideas page. Follow Jeff on Twitter: @jeffreykleintop.

The stock markets have shown some relative resiliency in the face of a plethora of things to worry about, as discussed by Schwab's Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders in her article, Comfortably Numb? An Update on Investor Sentiment, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com. Follow Liz Ann on Twitter: @lizannsonders.

Europe adds to weekly, monthly and quarterly gains, Asia mostly higher

European equity markets finished higher, adding to solid gains for the week, month and quarter, as a plethora of diverging economic data in the region was highlighted by an upbeat read on German unemployment and U.K. consumer data. The euro gained ground on the U.S. dollar but pared an upside move as the greenback found some support from a jump in regional manufacturing activity.

The British pound saw some pressure to help bolster the U.K. markets. The eurozone consumer price inflation estimate came in a bit cooler than expected for this month, while German retail sales unexpectedly declined last month. U.K. Q2 GDP growth was unrevised at a 0.3% quarter-over-quarter pace, but the 1.5% y/y expansion came in below estimates. Economists are pointing to the savings and income component of the GDP report, which showed the former rose and the latter outpaced inflation for the first time in a year to boost optimism regarding the health of the U.K. consumer, per Bloomberg. French consumer spending surprisingly declined last month, though Germany's unemployment fell more than forecasted for this month. In other economic news, U.K. business investment for Q2 and September home prices came in above estimates. Bond yields in the region moved to the downside. For a look at the global markets, see Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, article, U.S. vs International: What Do Earnings Tell Us About What May Be Ahead?, on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com.

Stocks in Asia tilted to the upside to close out a mixed month, though conviction may have been held in check ahead of next week's plethora of holidays, notably in China where the markets will experience an extended break. Also, the markets digested a host of Japanese economic data. Japan's consumer price inflation rose mostly in line with forecasts in August, but a read on consumer inflation in Tokyo for September a bit cooler than expected. Also, the nation's household spending and retail sales for last month missed forecasts but its preliminary read on industrial production rose more than expected. Japanese equities finished flat, with the yen paring a recent drop that has fueled solid gains for the stock markets this month. Shares trading in mainland China and Hong Kong rose ahead of next week's holidays and tonight's reads on manufacturing and services sector activity.

Australian securities gained ground and South Korean stocks advanced, while Indian equities finished little changed. As the quarter comes to a close, Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, and Vice President of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick offer the video, Is An Optimistic Outlook for Global Equities Warranted?, on the Insights & Ideas page at www.schwab.com. Follow Randy on Twitter: @randyafrederick.

Stocks nudge higher on week to tack onto solid Q3 gains

U.S. stocks capped off a Q3 rally with a modest weekly advance. The business spending component of the August durable goods orders report posted a back-to-back monthly jump and Q2 GDP growth was unexpectedly revised higher to 3.1%, adding to an upbeat economic backdrop. This may have helped the markets shrug off elevated December Fed rate hike expectations, which were preserved by continued hawkish rhetoric from the Fed, headlined by Chairwoman Janet Yellen's speech. Financials were one of the best performers as Treasury yields extended a rally, along with the U.S. dollar. Energy issues continued their quarterly rally as crude oil prices remained in recovery mode. The release of the framework for tax reform also appeared to underpin sentiment even as the timing and potential areas of contention were highly scrutinized. Technology issues gained slightly, adding to their decisive quarterly outperformance. However, utilities finished lower on the week amid the upside move in interest rates and healthcare stocks saw some pressure as the sector continued to face regulatory uncertainty and fiscal policy concerns. The consumer staples sector, the worst quarterly performer, nudged higher on the week, along with consumer discretionary issues, despite Dow member Nike Inc's (NKE $52) disappointing outlook.

As Q4 begins next week, the economic calendar will be robust, beginning with the ISM Manufacturing Index, Markit's Manufacturing PMI Index and September auto sales. The ISM non-Manufacturing Index and Markit's Services PMI Index will follow, along with the trade balance and factory orders. However, the docket will culminate with Friday's September nonfarm payroll report, with the wage component likely poised to garner the heaviest attention.

As noted in the latest Schwab Market Perspective: Fourth Quarter Fun…or Folly?, the resiliency of stocks continues but risks of a pullback exist with signs of investor complacency and heightened political and geopolitical uncertainties. U.S. economic data will likely be skewed by the hurricanes' impact but the underlying trend should remain positive. Earnings reporting season will begin with elevated expectations, so the ability to hurdle the bar is getting tougher, but if surprises are biased to the upside, stocks should perform well. Non-U.S. stocks are about to hit multiple milestones, which typically shouldn't concern investors as underlying fundamentals continue to appear solid. Read more on the Market Commentary page at www.schwab.com.

International reports due out next week that deserve a mention include: Australia—the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision, building approvals and trade balance. China—Manufacturing and non-Manufacturing PMIs. India—Reserve Bank of India monetary policy decision and PMIs. Japan—Q3 Tankan Large Manufacturing Index and labor earnings. Eurozone—unemployment rate, Markit's business activity reports, retail sales, and the minutes from the European Central Bank's September meeting, as well as German factory orders. U.K.—Markit's business activity reports and new car registrations.

Monday, October 31, 2016

Uncertainty Keeps Markets Rangebound

Charles Schwab: On the Market
Posted: 10/31/2016 4:15 PM ET

Uncertainty Keeps Markets Rangebound

U.S. equities finished modestly lower and near the unchanged mark, as investors look ahead to monetary policy meetings out of the U.S., the U.K. and Japan, as well as Friday's domestic jobs report, to gain more clarity. M&A activity dominated the equity front, headlined by Dow member General Electric's oil and gas combination with Baker Hughes and CenturyLink's tie-up with Level 3 Communications. Treasuries were modestly higher, following mixed economic data, while crude oil prices continued to selloff, exacerbated by disappointing OPEC talks over the weekend. Gold was higher, while the U.S. dollar was nearly flat.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) declined 19 points (0.1%) to 18,142, the S&P 500 Index was nearly unchanged at 2,126 and the Nasdaq Composite ticked nearly 1 point lower to 5,189. In heavy volume, 1.0 billion shares were traded on the NYSE and 1.7 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil tumbled $1.84 to $46.86 per barrel, wholesale gasoline ticked $0.03 lower to $1.42 per gallon and the Bloomberg gold spot price rose $2.58 to $1,278.05 per ounce. Elsewhere, the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was nearly unchanged at 98.35.

Dow member General Electric Co. (GE $29) announced that it will combine its oil and gas business with Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI $55). Under the terms of the deal, Baker Hughes shareholders will receive a special one-time cash dividend of $17.50 per share and 37.5% of the new company. GE will own 62.5% of the company and the transaction is expected to close in mid-2017. Both GE and BHI finished lower.

CenturyLink Inc. (CTL $27) announced an agreement to acquire Level 3 Communications Inc. (LVLT $56) for $66.50 per share in cash and stock, in a transaction valued at about $34.0 billion, including the assumption of debt. Under the terms of the deal, LVLT shareholders will receive $26.50 per share in cash and a fixed exchange ratio of 1.4286 shares of CTL for each share they own. Shares of CTL were lower, while LVLT gained solid ground. Both companies separately reported 3Q earnings results, with CenturyLink topping profit forecasts and matching revenue expectations, while Level 3 missed estimates.

Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH $69) reported fiscal 1Q earnings-per-share (EPS) ex-items of $1.24, above the $1.21 FactSet estimate, with revenues rising 14.0% year-over-year (y/y) to $32.0 billion, north of the expected $31.1 billion. Shares were nicely higher despite the company lowering its full-year EPS guidance, as its pharmaceutical segment profit is expected to be down y/y, due to generic pharmaceutical pricing and reduced levels of branded inflation.

Personal income and spending rise

Personal income (chart) was 0.3% higher month-over-month (m/m) in September, below the Bloomberg forecast of a 0.4% rise, and compared to August's unrevised 0.2% increase. Personal spending gained 0.5% last month, north of the expected 0.4% increase and versus August's downwardly revised 0.1% dip. The September savings rate as a percentage of disposable income was 5.7%. The PCE Deflator was up 0.2%, matching expectations. Compared to last year, the deflator was 1.2% higher, in line with estimates. Excluding food and energy, the PCE Core Index moved 0.1% higher m/m, matching expectations, and the index was up 1.7% y/y, in line with estimates.

For more on the consumer, see Schwab's Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders' latest article, Vertigo: Effect of Spiking Healthcare Costs on Consumers, at www.schwab.com/marketinsight and follow Liz Ann on Twitter: @lizannsonders.

The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (chart) fell but clung to expansion territory (above 50), after dropping to 50.6 in October from 54.2 in September and versus expectations of a dip to 54.0. New orders, production and inventories declined, while order backlogs and employment rose.

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index improved to -1.5 for October, from September's unrevised -3.7 level, with economists forecasting an increase to 2.0. A reading below zero denotes contraction in activity.

Treasuries were higher, as the yield on the 2-year note lost 1 basis point (bp) to 0.85%, while the yields on the 10-year note and the 30-year bond dipped by 3 bps to 1.83% and 2.59%, respectively. Bond yields have given back some of a recent rally that has come from some relatively upbeat economic data and elevated Fed rate hike expectations and Schwab's Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Kathy Jones notes in her article, Are Bond Yields About to Rise?, the shift to higher yields is likely to be slow, in our view, but markets don’t appear to be prepared for the change. We suggest investors prepare for a potential rise in bond yields by trimming exposure to bonds with either long durations or high credit risk. Read more at www.schwab.com/onbonds and follow Kathy on Twitter: @kathyjones.

A heavy week of data will continue tomorrow, with key reads on October manufacturing activity, courtesy of the ISM Manufacturing Index and the final Markit Manufacturing PMI Index (economic calendar). ISM's index is projected to tick higher to 51.7 from 51.5 in September, while Markit's index is estimated to be unrevised at 53.2, and up from September's 51.5 level. Readings above 50 denote expansion. As well, construction spending will be reported, forecasted to have risen 0.5% m/m during September, following the 0.7% decline seen in August.

However, Wednesday's monetary policy decision from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and Friday's October nonfarm payroll report are poised to command most of the attention, with traders looking to clear up uncertainty regarding a December rate hike.

As noted in the recent Schwab Market Perspective: Looking Past the Election, economic data continues to support a sluggish growth narrative, although there are glimmers of hope that we could see at least a modest acceleration in 2017. Barring a surprise move on Wednesday, which could jolt the market as odds of a hike at that meeting remain low, the focus on the Fed will move back to the forefront following the election, with all eyes on the December meeting. Fed members have been preparing the market and investors for a hike, and we believe, after several false starts, it will actually follow through this time around. Perhaps equally as important will be the message the Fed sends around the next two meetings regarding what it may be looking to do into 2017. Read more at www.schwab.com/marketinsight. Be sure to follow Schwab on Twitter: @schwabresearch.

Finally, with U.S. political risk hamstringing the global markets Schwab's Vice President of Legislative and Regulatory Affairs, Michael T. Townsend offers his latest article, Final Clinton-Trump Debate Sets Up a Sprint to the Finish Line, as part of our election 2016 commentary at www.schwab.com/insights/category/election-2016, where you can also find timely analysis of The Stock Market and Election Cycles.

Europe sees red, Asia mixed amid lingering uncertainty

European equities finished lower, with oil & gas issues seeing pressure after talks over the weekend between the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) yielded no new developments regarding a production cut. Also, global sentiment was stymied by flared-up U.S. Presidential uncertainty as the November election looms, while Italian banking concerns resurfaced. In economic news, preliminary eurozone 3Q GDP rose at a 0.3% quarter-over-quarter (q/q) pace, matching forecasts and 2Q's expansion, while output grew 1.6% year-over-year, in line with estimates and the prior quarter's gain. However, German retail sales unexpectedly dropped in September. Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, offers timely analysis of the global economic picture in his article, World Tour: An Around The World Look At the Economic Landscape, at www.schwab.com/oninternational, and follow Jeff on Twitter: @jeffreykleintop. The euro was lower versus the U.S. dollar and British pound reversed to the upside in late-day action, while bond yields in the region dipped.

Stocks in Asia finished mixed, as the global markets remain uncertain regarding the presidential race in the U.S., while the world monetary policy landscape continues to garner attention, with decisions looming in the U.S. and U.K. this week, and the Bank of Japan expected to announce its policy stance tomorrow. For our latest analysis of Japan's monetary policy, see Schwab's Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, article, Going Godzilla: What has the Bank of Japan Unleashed?, at www.schwab.com/oninternational. The persistent pressure on crude oil prices also bogged down the energy sector, exacerbated by no production cut agreement following weekend talks between OPEC. Stocks in Japan dipped on the heels of a disappointing September industrial production report, which may have overshadowed some weakness in the yen and the announcement that the nation's three largest shipping companies agreed to combine their container operations. Mainland Chinese equities and those traded in Hong Kong also dipped, while South Korean listings declined markedly, even as a report showed the country's industrial production unexpectedly rose in September. Strength in Australian mining issues gave that nation's markets a boost, as China strengthened its currency, more than offsetting sluggishness in oil & gas stocks and a drop in the tech sector. Finally, markets in India were closed for a holiday.

Tomorrow, the economic calendar overseas will focus primarily on the Asia/Pacific region, with South Korea set to release CPI and the trade balance, as well as China's trade balance and manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs, and Japan's manufacturing PMI. In addition to the aforementioned monetary policy meeting of the Bank of Japan, the Reserve Bank of Australia will also meet to discuss policy, with no change to its benchmark rate expected.

Monday, August 29, 2016

U.S. Stocks Outdo Global Markets

Charles Schwab; On the Market
Posted: 8/29/2016 :15 PM ET

U.S. Stocks Outdo Global Markets

U.S. equities bucked the global trend to finish solidly in the green, showing some resiliency in the face of the continued pressure on crude oil prices, as well as weakness overseas on increased Fed rate hike expectations. Favorable economic data likely lent some support, despite the global markets treading cautiously ahead of Friday's key August nonfarm payroll report. Treasuries and gold were higher, while the U.S. dollar was flat.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose 108 points (0.6%) to 18,504, the S&P 500 Index gained 11 points (0.5%) to 2,180, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 13 points (0.3%) to 5,232. In light volume, 647 million shares were traded on the NYSE and 1.4 billion shares changed hands on the Nasdaq. WTI crude oil lost $0.66 to $46.98 per barrel, wholesale gasoline declined $0.03 to $1.40 per gallon and the Bloomberg gold spot price increased $2.35 to $1,323.53 per ounce. Elsewhere, the Dollar Index—a comparison of the U.S. dollar to six major world currencies—was unchanged at 95.58.

Mylan NV (MYL $43) announced that it will launch the first generic EpiPen Auto-Injector at a list price of $300 for a two-pack carton, representing a discount of more than 50% to its branded EpiPen. The drug maker came under scrutiny last week for its pricing of its branded EpiPen shots at $600, which it said today that it will continue to sell. Shares were higher.

Personal income and spending rise as expected

Personal income (chart) was 0.4% higher month-over-month (m/m) in July, matching the Bloomberg forecast and compared to June's upwardly revised 0.3% increase. Personal spending came in 0.3% higher m/m last month—the fourth-straight monthly gain—in line with expectations and versus June's favorably revised 0.5% rise. The July savings rate as a percentage of disposable income was 5.7%. The PCE Deflator came in flat, as expected. Compared to last year, the deflator was 0.8% higher, matching estimates. Excluding food and energy, the PCE Core Index ticked 0.1% higher m/m, in line with expectations, and the index was up 1.6% y/y, above estimates of a 1.5% rise.

The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index fell to -6.2 for August from July's unrevised -1.3 level with economists forecasting a decrease to -3.9. A reading below zero denotes contraction in manufacturing activity.

Treasuries finished higher, as the yield on the 2-year note declined 4 basis points (bps) to 0.81%, while the yields on the 10-year note and the 30-year bond dropped 7 bps to 1.57% and 2.22%, respectively. For analysis on the fixed income markets see the video from Schwab's Managing Director of Trading and Derivatives, Randy Frederick and Fixed Income Director Collin Martin, CFA, titled Tempered Expectations for Bond Returns: Why Hold Bonds? at www.schwab.com/insights and follow Randy on Twitter: @randyafrederick.

On the heels of last week's comments from Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen and Vice Chair Stanley Fischer that suggested a September rate hike remains a possibility, this Friday's August nonfarm payroll report is poised to be a key focus for the global markets. The report will also be preceded by key reads on Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) from ISM and Markit, the trade balance, Consumer Confidence, and August vehicle sales. Tomorrow will bring the Consumer Confidence Index, which economists expect to fall slightly to a level of 97.0 for August from July's 97.3, and the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index, forecasted to show prices in the 20-city composite rose 5.12% y/y in June, but ticked 0.1% lower m/m on a seasonally-adjusted basis  (economic calendar).

Schwab's Chief Fixed Income Strategist, Kathy Jones notes in her article, What Does Strong Job Growth Mean for Bond Investors?, recent strong job growth has improved the odds the Fed will raise short-term interest rates in the coming months and this has potentially negative implications for the U.S. bond market, which has put in a strong performance so far this year. The risk of higher rates appears greater than the potential for lower rates. We suggest investors keep the average duration of their portfolios within the short- to intermediate-term bond range to help reduce volatility, and consider holding Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Read more at www.schwab.com/onbonds and follow Kathy on Twitter: @kathyjones.

Europe lower on oil and Fed rate hike uneasiness, Asia mixed

European equities traded to the downside, amid lighter-than-usual volume as the U.K. markets were closed for a holiday. Fed rate hike expectations got a boost from Friday's comments from Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen, which was followed by Fed Vice Chair Stanley Fischer's remarks that suggested rate hikes next month and in December could be possibilities. The euro and British pound finished lower versus the U.S. dollar, while bond yields in the region mostly dipped. Amid the elevated Fed rate hike expectations, utilities led to the downside, along with oil & gas issues, which saw pressure as crude oil prices declined on supply concerns and a stronger U.S. dollar. Political uncertainty lingered in the region as Spain's Prime Minister Rajoy is set to face a confidence vote tomorrow, per Bloomberg. For more on the global political landscape, see Schwab's Director of International Research, Michelle Gibley's, CFA, article, Performing Reformers: How Political Change Can Affect Stocks at www.schwab.com/oninternational, and be sure to follow Schwab on Twitter: @schwabresearch. Also, with global uncertainty remaining elevated to open the door for some possible increased volatility, Schwab's Chief Global Investment Strategist, Jeffrey Kleintop, CFA, offers Three Reasons Why Now is Not the Time to Retreat from Global Diversification and why Your portfolio may be less diversified than you think. Read both articles at www.schwab.com/oninternational and be sure to follow Jeff on Twitter: @jeffreykleintop.

Stocks in Asia finished mixed on the heels of Friday's comments from the Fed's Yellen and Fischer that kept the possibility of a September rate hike in play. Mainland Chinese equities finished flat and those traded in Hong Kong declined, while the nation reported a year-over-year (y/y) acceleration in July industrial profits. Australian securities dropped amid weakness in basic materials and oil & gas stocks, while South Korean listings also declined. However, India's markets advanced, and stocks in Japan rallied as the yen weakened amid a rise in the U.S. dollar on the aforementioned Fed comments, as well as Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda's reiterated pledge to deploy further stimulus measures if needed. For more on Japan's potential increased stimulus measures see Jeffrey Kleintop's, CFA, article, What investors need to know about helicopter money at www.schwab.com/oninternational.

A host of economic reports from Japan will dominate tomorrow's international economic calendar, including labor data, personal income and consumption, retail sales and trade figures. From across the pond will come Germany's Import Price Index, housing prices from the U.K., CPI from Spain, retail sales from Italy, and confidence gauges from the Eurozone.